McCain's 'economic guru' and the market meltdown
Back in January, John McCain admitted to the Wall Street Journal editorial board he “doesn’t really understand economics.” He told the editors, though, that he was nevertheless reliable because his former Senate colleague, Texas’ Phil Gramm, was his chief economic advisor — McCain had even brought Gramm along for the meeting — and the man he turns to as an economic expert.
It’s tempting to think that who presidential candidate pick as advisors is irrelevant — it’s he or she who’s in power who’ll make the decisions, not his or her top aides. But I think this approach is mistaken, especially when the candidate concedes ignorance in an important policy area. The advisor’s beliefs become the candidate’s beliefs. Confronted with challenges once in office, the advisor’s recommendations are likely to become the president’s official policy.
With that in mind, let’s take a good look at former Sen. Phil Gramm, someone McCain has hinted might be his Treasury Secretary if elected.
Paul Krugman noted last week that most reasonable people seem to realize that we’re in serious need of financial reform and expanded regulation. That is, except, Gramm, who’s championed financial deregulation for years. “I’d argue that aside from Alan Greenspan, nobody did as much as Mr. Gramm to make this crisis possible,” Krugman said.
Lisa Lerer explains in a terrific Politico piece that Krugman’s take isn’t the least bit hyperbolic.
The general co-chairman of John McCain’s presidential campaign, former Sen. Phil Gramm (R-Texas), led the charge in 1999 to repeal a Depression-era banking regulation law that Democrat Barack Obama claimed on Thursday contributed significantly to today’s economic turmoil.
“A regulatory structure set up for banks in the 1930s needed to change because the nature of business had changed,” the Illinois senator running for president said in a New York economic speech. “But by the time [it] was repealed in 1999, the $300 million lobbying effort that drove deregulation was more about facilitating mergers than creating an efficient regulatory framework.”
Wait, it gets worse.
A year after the Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act repealed the old regulations, Swiss Bank UBS gobbled up brokerage house Paine Weber. Two years later, Gramm settled in as a vice chairman of UBS’s new investment banking arm.
Later, he became a major player in its government affairs operation. According to federal lobbying disclosure records, Gramm lobbied Congress, the Federal Reserve and Treasury Department about banking and mortgage issues in 2005 and 2006.
During those years, the mortgage industry pressed Congress to roll back strong state rules that sought to stem the rise of predatory tactics used by lenders and brokers to place homeowners in high-cost mortgages.
For his work, Gramm and two other lobbyists collected $750,000 in fees from UBS’s American subsidiary. In the past year, UBS has written down more then $18 billion in exposure to subprime loans and other risky securities and is considering cutting as many as 8,000 jobs.
Confronted with a fire, John McCain is taking advice from an arsonist. If elected, he intends to put the arsonist in charge of fire safety.





There's also news that UBS is slated to acknowledge another writedown of $15-$18 billion dollars, in addition to the $18 billion above. As Krugman said, a Trillion here, a Trillion there, pretty soon you're talking about real money.
Economic Guru and the Market Meltdown sounds like a 60's Psychedelia band
republican style.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YHAE_MpmTXk
When an Empire is in decline, the carrion feeder's numbers increase. The Empires leaders begin doing the opposite of everything needed to maintain the Empire's health.
Once the Empire is weakened, it can no longer fend off the scavengers and the carrion feeders, and more and more politicians turn to feast on the dying beast. After all,
Is there any doubt that we're in that state now?
In other words....if you really, really, really want to know what it was like for your parents, grand parents, great grandparents....by all means vote for John "economics is not something I’ve understood as well as I should" Express McBush.....
Then you'll have a first hand appreciation for an economy circa 1929....
Let us also recall that when Flim-Flam Gramm ran for President, it was none other than John McCain who became his election chairman.
Loyalty over competence is a Repug tradition, just look what loyalty has brought over the last seven years.
John McStupid would be PERFECT for America....
John McStupid openly admits he "doesn’t really understand economics" ; what is with the horseshit GOP that they always manage to find the candidate who least deserves the nomination , let alone the presidency itself ?
MCMetal @ 7:
Because they nominate their interpretation of an 'Ideal Republican'?
I've enjoyed at times, explaining in the presence of Republicans, that Bush was elected because he is the greatest Republican alive. That he embodies the ideals that every Republican admires and strives to. No Republican is smarter, or wiser or better qualified to be President.
They never seem to have a good response to that....
Unlike McCain, Obama does seem to know something about economics.
The idea of President McCain scares the hell out of me. Meanwhile the media is all a whirl about Obama's bowling score. As far as the media is concerned the economy of our country was yesterday's news. I guess they think the big speech yesterday cleared everything up.
The pirates of old would get a kick out of the term "deregulated trade". It's the 50 cent word reslugs used to replace 'pillage and plunder'.
If McInsane is elected, we can kiss the middle class good-bye. The average American has suffered under Georgie's policies. The baby-boomers are retiring and social security and medicare will long be gone before I or my peers can benefit from them. We need sanity now.
In case you missed it... (its a little more than five min., worth the view)
Paul Volker last night on Charlie Rose
UBS is going to write-down another $19.5 BILLION (for 1st quarter '08) after $18 BILLION last year!
Sorry Jay, I hadn't read any posts before putting in my 2 cents.
Wow, watching Morning Joe, the breaking news is about the inquest of Princess Di. Oh, and Reverend Wright. No news about Iraq or Afghanistan. You would think there isn't a war or wars going on would you?
Patty D. @ 15:
I can barely watch that show any longer. If you see the first fifteen minutes you have pretty much seen the whole show. Joe has become intolerable. Rendell was on talking about Florida and he did not have all the facts or else he failed to include them. After that, I couldn't take any more.
Al Queda denies conspiring with U.S. Government to bring down WTC.
They are pissed that the theorist are trying to steal away the credit.
(figured you could all use a break from reality for a couple of minutes)
pissed of patricia, your right. I barely watch MSM anymore. I listen to c-span and tune in every hour or so. I can only handle so much of Hillary and Obama. MSM is becoming a farce.
Patty D. @ 18:
Becoming?
♣Bangkok Bob♠ @ 17:
That was fun and brilliant. Thank you for taking me there. I'm kinda blue this morning so I needed some fun.
pissed off patricia @ 16:
POP, I just finished reading "A Thousand Splendid Suns" (same Author as Kite Runner).
This book really gives a great perspective on how the whole thing started with the downfall of the USSR and then step by step to where we are now, by following the lives of a few people in Afghanistan. great book.
Gramm sold the out the country and sold his integrity for 750,000.00. What a cheap whore he is. F**K Um, they won't get elected anyway. But it would be nice to see some criminal charges brought against him.
Touche! Bangkok Bob.
♣Bangkok Bob♠ @ 17:
I'm always on break.
ysbaddaden @ 24:
Well, I never drink on Wednesday, so I get a chance to roam the Internet with a clear mind for a change. LOL
Patty D. @ 18:
I'm sure Oscar Wilde would have something to declare about that.
Bush and Cheney = "the new Pinochet's"
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Augusto_Pinochet
crooked regime
government coup
Suppression of opposition
Economic policy
Secret bank accounts, tax evasion and arms deal
--> Arrest and trial
here we go...
http://words-of-power.blogspot.com/2008/03/can-you-say-pin-o-chet-those-...
♣Bangkok Bob♠ @ 21:
I finally got my husband to begin reading the Kite Runner and just as I suspected he loves it as much as I did. Thanks for the heads up on the new book. I'll pick it up this weekend.
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/04/02/business/worldbusiness/02ubs.html?_r=1...
it's only going to get worse.
Gramm's wife was on the Board of Directors of Enron, and Gramm must have played a role there.
http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?file=/c/a/2008/04/01/MNAEVTF7M...
mudshark @ 31:
and the hits just keep on coming.
http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/businesstechnology/2004318910_stoc...
mudshark @ 31:
Just seeing that article makes me homesick for the Bay Area. (sigh)
http://www.reuters.com/
Phil Gramm, the wonderful idiot who wrote the legislation that allow a company like Enron to exist. Phil Gramm, whose wife was a lobbyist for Enron, and on their Board. This couldn't be the same Phil Gramm who didn't run for re-election for his Senator job, taking his huge war chest home. He got out before Enron's shit hit the fan. Phil fudges like Hillary, but only worse. He tells whoppers. He was the type of Senator who fought a bill tooth and nail, and then took credit for getting it passed later on. He didn't take credit for his Enron dealings though. Oh, not Phil Gramm.
This couldn't be who McCain is trusting, could it. Phil shouldn't be allowed to stand close to any public funds. It would be like a paedo living next door to a Primary school.
Jay @ 1:
Here's the link from CNN:
http://money.cnn.com/2008/04/01/news/international/ubs.ap/index.htm?cnn=yes
Tug @ 30:
I used to have a link to a story about how Gramm got his wife on the BoD of Enron and the strings he pulled to do, followed by her lobbying efforts in Washington on their behalf.
I'll do some digging and see if I can find it.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fe2hjXSP0YU
27 The Smiths
Yes we should abandon all our institutions because they were affected by coup as well as we were. Clearly youngbloods have the only value in our society now. Anything that still has any remaining taint of the current administration should burnt to the ground and considered unsalvagable.
Confronted with a fire, John McCain is taking advice from an arsonist. If elected, he intends to put the arsonist in charge of fire safety.
That's par for the course. Republicans are very enamored of putting foxes in charge of henhouses. Any reasonable reading of Bush's Cabinet and Executive Branch agency appointments reveals that.
This may be a bit off topic, but if McCain doesn't understand economics his potential running mates probably don't either. Part of this list of possible running mates was posted on C&L a few days ago, and I would give the poster credit here, but I don't recall the name. Sorry. I embellished the list with my caustic comments.
Hope this gives you a few chuckles even though it is a scary thought to imagine any of these nutcases on the Republican ticket.
Here are some possible running mates Senator John McCain (aka: McInsane) could pick:
To attract the family values crowd:
ex Congressman Mark Foley (Florida) - an outed gay Republican who ran the Congressional page program and sent explicit emails to some of the pages
Senator David Vitter - family values guy from Louisiana who got his kicks by having his favorite "ladies of the evening" (the DC Madam) dress him in Depends
Senator Larry Craig (Idaho) - homophobic gay-basher who got caught in a sting in a Minneapolis airport men's room with his pants down, literally
ex Congressman Tom DeLay - the former "Hot tub Tom," now a born-again Christian, practices his Christian love by advocating annihilation of all Muslims, liberals and Democrats on the face of the Earth; he is still under indictment for accepting campaign funds illegal under Texas law
To cement the Republican White House’s good grounding in scientific reality:
former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee - believes the U.S. Constitution should be amended to make it conform to the Bible; believes Noah herded dinosaurs onto the Ark
Senator Sam Brownback (Kansas) - same as Huckabee (above)
Senator James Inhofe - this Oklahoma senator claims he has traced his family tree back to Creation and found not one gay family member; also believes that global warming is a complete hoax; probably doesn't believe in the theory of Atlantis either
To demonstrate their intimate knowledge of technology
Senator Ted Stevens - could run with McCain if he is not indicted first; would open up the entire state of Alaska to oil drilling as well as parts of neighboring Canada and Russia
Or their vast experience in correctly predicting the outcome of our military interventions
Bill Kristol - editor of the wingnut Weekly Standard and famous Chickenhawk who wants the U.S. to kill virtually everyone else in the world; touts Iraq as a tremendous success
Or just their all-around good-guy reputation
Karl Rove - former top adviser to W Bush and possibly the most sinister dirty tricks artist in U.S. history; made the Nixon crowd look like rank amateurs; his accomplishments include stealing elections, destroying the professionalism of the Justice Department, outing a CIA agent, playing the 9/11 fear card, and dividing the American people
Honorable Mention
Secretary of State Condolizzard Rice - still confused about whether W Bush is her husband; having achieved zero foreign policy objectives she now yearns for greater opportunities as VP
ex Congresswoman Katherine Harris (Florida) - helped W and Jeb Bush steal the 2000 Florida vote by removing convicted felons and thousands of others who were not convicted felons from the voter rolls; was rewarded with her own seat in Congress; ran such a bizarre Christo-fascist campaign for the Senate in 2006 that even Republican leaning Florida rejected her
ex Speaker of the House Denny Hastert - would definitely add some bulk to the ticket; his most important accomplishment was the fact he was the longest serving Republican Speaker in history
ex Senator Rick Santorum (Pennsylvania) - "Slick Rick" was the Number 3 Republican in the Senate; this self proclaimed Christian advocates hating everyone who does not share his religious beliefs; rumored to be living in the Creation Museum in Kentucky
PLEASE CONTINUE TO REFER TO JOHN "THE REPUBLICAN" MCCAIN WITH HIS PROPER MIDDLE NAME...
it is well understood that his handlers are trying to make him appear as "without party" because the GOP sucks at this time....
....i believe he should wear it PROUDLY.... like a lapel pin
"Confronted with a fire, John McCain is taking advice from an arsonist. If elected, he intends to put the arsonist in charge of fire safety."
Well it is the way Bush has been doing it, so why not?
Here is an article about Gramm with some interesting information about him and his wife Wendy, written before the Enron collapse:
http://www.buyingofthepresident.org/index.php/archives/1996/41/
John McCain admitted to the Wall Street Journal editorial board he “doesn’t really understand economics.”
REAL STRAIGHT TALK instead of the usual DOUBLESPEAK.
While Phil Gramm was writing the repeal of the Glass Steagall Act in Congress, Clinton's Treasury Secretary was twisting Bill Clinton's arm to sign it. One month after he did... Rubin resigned and jumped to Citigroup to cash in on the mortgage feeding frenzy...
Rubin is Hillary's economic advisor and he also is in large part responsible for the subprime mess ans sholud not be let near the White House!
From the Archives:
Rubin calls for modernization through reform of Glass-Steagall Act.
http://www.allbusiness.com/government/business-regulations/500983-1.html
Mugsy @ 37:
From here: http://www.buyingofthepresident.org/index.php/archives/1996/41/
"In response to the energy companies’ request, Wendy Gramm set in motion the process that led to energy derivative contracts and other exotic financial transactions being exempted from regulation. (snip)
Cumulatively, Gramm’s campaigns had received $157,250 from the people who were asking his wife to exempt energy derivatives and the other transactions from regulation. (snip)
The name of one company in particular might have caught Wendy Gramm’s attention: Enron Corporation. It was the only company that signed the original request and two of the supporting letters sent later. It’s a fairly large company, based in Houston. Of all the companies that wrote to the CFTC seeking the exemption, Enron was the biggest donor to Gramm’s campaigns, giving $34,100 over the years.
After taking actions that led to the exemptions from regulation, Wendy Gramm resigned on January 20, 1993, the day Clinton was inaugurated. Five weeks later, she was named to Enron’s board of directors. The part-time position pays her $22,000, plus $1,250 for each meeting she attends. In April 1993 the CFTC voted 2 to 1 against regulating the business. Two seats on the board were vacant at the time; the remaining commissioners, all Bush appointees, were seen as ideologically aligned with Wendy Gramm."
Phil and Wendy, ethically-challenged individuals that they are, helped each other.
Good call by Obama! This is a complex economic issue, and Obama showed he has a grasp of the situation.
EliteLemming @ 39:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f9TkG-dd3Ok
"The advisor’s beliefs become the candidate’s beliefs." Just like Reagan and "the advisors" who ran America--Nancy in the last years, I never knew who was controlling our fate. G. Dumb and now McCane [the old one] are continuing the Repub traditional approach---"You provide the handsome image and we'll do the thinking for you--just say what we tell you and you'll be a great President."
As long as so many Americans keep putting Rethugnicans into office there is no prospect for any progress on issues like the economy, energy efficiency and global warming. One reason so many Rethugs are in office is because Americans are the most clueless voters on the planet.
In 2001 a college educated Dem friend of mine said she voted for W because he seemed like a nice guy. When I mentioned that W would roll back environmental and consumer protections she became annoyed and asked how I knew that. I tried to explain that there are fundamental policy differences between Dems and Rethugs on a wide range of issues. She looked at me like I didn't know what the hell I was talking about. She demonstrates what is called uninformed and misinformed thinking.
Another friend who voted for Gore in 2000 later voted for W in 2004 because he did not "trust" Kerry. How could he distrust Kerry after all the lies Bush and Cheney uttered during their first term? This is called illogical and inconsistent thinking.
With nitwits like my friends we will keep electing people like Bush, Cheney, Tom DeLay, Newt, Quayle, Inhofe, Craig, Vitter, etc.
There is no solution to this kind of stupidity by so many voters. Rethugs are experts at taking advantage of this stupidity.
♣Bangkok Bob♠ @ 25:
So tomorrow you'll be sober?
Commercial truck drivers are so upset here about the price of diesel, they're going on strike today.
This is Texas, no one goes on strike.
Might explain the cold snap today though
Hell just froze over.
Weaseldog @ 52:
Not me.
Big Dick Cheney @ 42:
I just call him Bush 3.0
Congress is finally investigating the high cost of gas
Thay want to see if the prices have been pumped up with steroids.
Weaseldog @ 55:
Or we could just call him the little dick.
“But by the time [it] was repealed in 1999, the $300 million lobbying effort that drove deregulation was more about facilitating mergers than creating an efficient regulatory framework.”
Whhaaaaaaatt!?!? Who could have guessed?
"Another friend who voted for Gore in 2000 later voted for W in 2004 because he did not “trust” Kerry. How could he distrust Kerry after all the lies Bush and Cheney uttered during their first term? This is called illogical and inconsistent thinking."
I encountered the same in '04. The Swiftboating of Kerry was beyond reproach... but it worked.
I've never known my peers to be more informed or more liberal than they have been over the past five years, yet at the same time, ask them why they voted for someone like W, and all of their knowledge goes out the window. "My parents said that Rush Limbaugh said," or, "I don't want things to get worse," for example.
I don't get it.
mudshark @ 34:
Hey Muddy Ole' Buddy...
I went to your link and I'm not sure what you were pointing at because there were multiple stories. You did however start a nice game of "connect the dots" for me with an article I'm writing.
This comes under the heading... ain't this new global economy just frickin' grand?
28 million Americans on food stamps and rising... and food riots around the world. When this many people can't feed themselves or put a roof over their families heads or get them medical care... this is a formula for explosive violence and you can bet the shit is going to hit the fan!
Here are some of the Dots:
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/usa-2008-the-great-depr...
From your links Muddy:
http://www.reuters.com/article/newsOne/idUSL2350258020080401?sp=true
Here you have food riots going on in all of the Middle Eastern Countries...
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/02/25/world/middleeast/25economy.html?_r=6&n...
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/03/29/business/worldbusiness/29rice.html?_r=...
If this continues, and there is a ton of evidence that is will, The next President and for that matter all of the World's leaders are going to get a wake-up call big time about this "new global economy."
The market is up and the Wall Streeters are happy as "clams at high tide", but below the surface there is a world wide seething anger stirring... the kind that topples governments.
Why are you people blaming Republicans for everything, they did not cause the housing meltdown, greedy people and banks did!
chris @ 61:
Because deregulation served up by first the GOP congress in 1999 and then Bush's nullification of the states "predatory lending" laws in 2003 and Reagan's man Greenspan dumping excess liquidity into the market creating a "credit Bubble"... did cause this. Next question.
Here in Texas the state publicans pushed through a state constitutional change to remove the Homestead Act. Originally, you home was safe from creditors except the IRS and mechanic's leans.
They pushed it as Don't Let the Government Tell You What You Can Do With Your Money.
So now middle-class people are being foreclosed on, because they rengotiated their mortgages and took out second mortgages to take advantage of the lower rates under the sub-prime market, to find themselves suddenly having to pay more than they can afford.
As Krugman noted? AS KRUGMAN NOTED!?!?!?
Krugman noted this:
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/02/19/bush-is-right-about-something/
And you are going to say on this blog "As Krugman noted"?
Yeah, fight wars! Good for the "economy", meaning good for the state! Yeaaaahhhhhh!!!!!
DIE IRAQIS DIE!!! WE'RE HELPING OUR ECONOMY!!!!!
Rasputin @ 62:
Next question?
Why did deregulation of lending allegedly cause a crisis, but deregulation in other industries did not? Deregulation in and of itself is not a bad thing. For example, there could be a regulation that bans gay marriage, or a regulation that bans soft drug use. Wouldn't the "deregulation" of these things be beneficial?
Could it be that Greenspan told everyone to take out variable rate mortgages knowing that rates would go way up after 5 years? Could it be extremely low interest rates the Fed set in 2001-2004 that created an artificial demand that propped up housing prices? Could it be that there was a PURPOSEFUL looking away from lending and housing in order to jack up the prices of houses, so that American consumers could have a seemingly never-ending rise in equity which allowed them to keep the consuming economy going? Could it be that a nation that does not produce anymore is destined to fail, and that ANY action that will stave off total collapse will be taken, such as creating a housing bubble? Could it be that the economy should have gone into a recession after the dot com crash, but didn't because the Fed pumped massive amounts of liquidity that found its way into housing, then after housing burst, into commodities?
It's one bubble after another, and it's getting so bad that MORE THAN ONE BUBBLE is forming at a time. Not only are housing prices still in a bubble, but stocks, financial firms and commodities are also in a bubble. Everything is valued in a currency that has no value backing it up, except the threat to other countries of selling oil in dollars. But this cannot last. This system is not productive, it only puts a band-aid on the wound that is always festering.
Drew @ 64:
As usual... you try to paint Krugman as advocating war in your "Freidmanite, Libertarian, Free Market" rant but you left out the paragraph that shows his true intent:
Your distortion of the facts and BS are appalling!
Drew @ 65:
Here... I'll make it easy for you and put it in pictures since your reading comprehension is so poor:
This explains how the banks assumed to much risk by using hedge funds that weren't regulated. They didn't have any regulations at all and that is how this mess got out of control on an epic scale!
PBS NewsHour 20070830 Subprime Primer 1of2
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k6jWvOHYeJc
This part covers risk, growth, and the Fed pushing money into to try and re-inflate the "Housing Bubble", welcome to Ronald Reagan's or economist Milton Friedman's free market "bubble economy."
PBS NewsHour 20070830 Subprime Primer 2of2
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O5u7H5EOxJY
This is how a couple of hundred billion dollars of bad mortgage debt turns into a multi-trillion dollar meltdown of the world's banks.
PBS Newshour explains the 2008 credit bubble and the Domino Effect
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bHXcnWrw7r4
Drew @ 65:
That's because boosh is the Bubble-Boy:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NJ7a9lMSwL8
Regulations are to business what laws are to people
Without them corporations become elite citizens.
Re-Regulation is often termed - De-Regulation.
Other industries got Re-Regulated before 2000.
Since 2000, true De-Regulation has been the fad.
Republicans believe that large corporations should not be bound by rules or laws.
Look at the Telecom Immunity legislation that Bush is trying to get passed. It will make Telecom Corporations completely beyond the rule of Law. No laws would apply to them at all. They could steal or murder during the course of their business and no one could touch them.
They could counterfeit money and no one can touch them.
Bush and the Republican Congress repealed most of the laws that prevent financial institutions from gambling with investments such as mutual funds, 401ks and IRAs, so that they could leverage tons of debt on them and make big commissions.
The Republicans knew what would happen. The effects are taught in High School. Or used to be... These laws were enacted to prevent a second Great Depression.
They knew that removing these laws would lead to another Depression, but they also knew they'd get lot's of money for doing it. And they like money.
Rasputin @ 66:
Sorry Rasputin, but Krugman can't have his cake and eat it too. Wars are either good for the economy or they are bad for the economy. One cannot say that wars are good for the economy in one breath, and then state that the money could have been better used elsewhere in the next. Krugman's problem (sorry if I stick to Krugman and not get sucked into a personal quibble with you) is that he is stuck in a Keynesian intellectual world, where even pyramid building is viewed as healthy for the economy, so long as it creates jobs (these are Keynes' own words).
What Krugman does not understand (I am only criticizing him because he has both fallacy filled ideas and fame, a lethal combination) is that the only thing that makes us more prosperous in the long term is if the productivity of labor rises. The productivity of labor rises when there is more savings, because saving finances the creation of capital goods, which is what wage earners use in production. The more capital goods wage earners have to use, the more products they can produce for sale, and because the same labor is being used to produce more products, prices can fall and not hurt profitability.
It is only when prices FALL is there an overall rise in our standard of living.
But wars, excessive government expenditures like building pyramids and missiles and tanks, as well as heavy taxes, all these things directly HURT productivity, because money not spent on capital goods is spent on consumer goods. The more we spend on consumption, the less we spend on capital formation, which HURTS EVERYONE IN THE COUNTRY in the long term.
Rasputin, you can insult me, put me down, do all of these things. But I do not take those statements as anything except a reflection of your own misgivings, not mine. If you want to talk about wars and the economy and why there is a market meltdown, I'll be glad to. But every single time it seems you always bring up "deregulation" in one form or another, yet you never precisely describe what deregulations you are talking about. You simply assume that by saying the word "deregulation" that everyone will understand, because that's how you people gather in flocks. By saying certain keywords here and there with nothing to back them up except for a non-named collective understanding of anti-capitalism.
The problems with our economy go MUCH MUCH deeper than housing and lending. You know that don't you? If it was MERELY a few bad lenders here and there, then in a free market they would have gone bankrupt and then that would be that. But the problems go much deeper than housing regulation. If you cannot take off your side blinders, if you cannot put yourself at a bird's eye view of the economy and figure out why the whole economy is suffering, then you have no reason to talk or assume that you are helping the situation. If all you do is stick to minor things like regulation, and make it THE problem, it only shows your bias and not your ability to see things in the aggregate sense.
Let me repeat. The economy has problems that lie MUCH deeper than housing and the derivatives that were based on it. This economy is suffering the consequences of not producing, and borrowing in order to consume. This is an extremely bad situation that requires MASSIVE overhauling, and by overhauling I mean INTELLECTUAL overhauling, not just tinkering with rules and regulations, which would be like rearranging the deck chairs on the Titanic.
We need to end the Federal Reserve. That is the only way this country can get back to producing again, so that our currency becomes valuable because of what we produce, and not because of the threat our government makes to oil producing nations. You do understand that the Bush administration is fighting wars because that is the only way to keep our war-state economy going, the very war state that Krugman and all the other Keynesians said would be so good for the economy. We are at war not because of terrorism. We are at war because of our own fiscal and economic irresponsibility.
When economies suffer because of statist policies that were thought to work but actually don't and never have, and the majority of people think the state is the solution and not the source of the problems, then self-analysis becomes impossible, and outside environments become targets for blame.
Hardly anyone blames statist policies. They only blame CERTAIN people in state positions that ruined it for everyone. Such naive thinking is incredibly short sighted because is it possible to have 1000 years of big good government without any extremely bad people that come along and take advantage of the situation that is presented to them?
The current government and the supporters, and I mean supporters of Obama and Hillary as well, are predominantly Keynesian in nature, meaning more government to solve bad government. But government is the problem in the first place. Corporations without government privilege are absolutely harmless. But the more people do not take ideas seriously, the more we become lazy and blame this or that regulation, the more that people in this country will not find the answers they are looking for. They will then start to blame the world for what has happened here, hence the empire wars abroad.
MargeAggedon @ 10:
Very good. I am going to have to remeber this one.
Weaseldog @ 70:
Dead on! Those repug bastards knew exactly what they were doing.
It's not like this is the first depression ever. Yet, despite the evidence of the massive failures of their ideaology everywhere (domestic and foreign policy), they stick to-it. Why? Because they don't care. Just let the corporatocracy suck the life out of the country and everyone else in it. That's their problem, not Bush's.
It's GOP 101 basic philosophy (compassionate conservatism). Find people less fortunate than you are, and steal everything they have. They deserve it, and so do you!
chris @ 61:
Because their dismantling of FDR's New Deal regulations (and opposition to any new ones) is what allowed the pigs to get into the dining room and gorge themselves at everyone else's expense.
I've said this all to you before, but as per my last post to you... your reading comprehension is truly abysmal!
1. The Banks and brokerages used hedge funds to evade US banking regulations on the amount of risk they could assume and the amount of capitalization that they needed to back up both their loans and the securities they issued. The videos explain that very well... but you alway evade answering them.
PBS NewsHour 20070830 Subprime Primer 1of2
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k6jWvOHYeJc
This is how a couple of hundred billion dollars of bad mortgage debt turns into a multi-trillion dollar meltdown of the world's banks.
PBS Newshour explains the 2008 credit bubble and the Domino Effect
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bHXcnWrw7r4
And which pieces of deregulation specifically allowed the current subprime crisis to develop?
It was the repeal of the Glass-Steagall Act of 1933
SNIP! Jump to modern day...
http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/shows/wallstreet/weill/demise.html
But wait there is more...
http://www.crooksandliars.com/2008/02/15/bush-administration-invoked-an-...
Quit trying to play the victim and distorting the truth. The Fed does play a role and I noted that, but you always try to ignore the deregulation part of the picture to spin your "free market" Ron Paul BS and anyone who points out the facts you start calling an "anti-capitalist" or a "communist."
"Free Market capitalism" theory and "Communism" are the opposite sides of the same coin... they are academic theories that don't work in the real world because of basic human nature.
Communism was supposed to be the "Worker's Paradise" and the central government was supposed to dissolve away. Well that didn't work out to well now did it... Stalin and Mao found that hanging on to power and living lavishly at the workers expense was much more attractive.
"Free Market Capitalism" has never existed anywhere in the world either and in the absence of regulations the greed of the mortgage brokers and banks produced a "feeding frenzy" that now threatens the entire worlds financial system with collapse.
Instead of promoting self regulation and the "rule of law" as the "Free Market" theory goes... we saw wide spread institutionalized fraud:
http://www.oregonlive.com/business/oregonian/index.ssf?/base/business/12...
Greed and unenlightened self interest will always bring these Utopian fantasies down!
This is timely about McCain's advisor Graham as on SPecial Report tonight, Krauthammer advised McCain to go after Obama's military advisor, Gen. McPeak. Fight fire with fire I say.
Rasputin @ 75:
"“Free Market Capitalism” has never existed anywhere in the world either and in the absence of regulations the greed of the mortgage brokers and banks produced a “feeding frenzy” that now threatens the entire worlds financial system with collapse."
Again, you cannot get out of your bubble mentality. The greed of mortgage brokers is not threatening the entire system. That's not how economies operate. It is simply impossible to have one part of the economy to suffer massive losses and then have this affect the entire market. If one part suffers losses because of a decrease in revenues, then by definition other parts should see increases in revenues and hence profits.
But when you have an economy with a central bank, the whole economy can become inflated. But because the world is complex, with human decisions changing and adapting everyday, this means that it is inevitable that one part will show signs first, and then other parts will soon follow. The housing bubble and the finance bubbles and all the other bubbles are crashing not because of each other, but because they are all being driven by the same underlying factors, and the factor is inflation (increase in quantity of money).
After all I said, you still think the current recession is caused by mortgage lenders. Really, I don't think you have given this the proper thought it deserves. The housing bubble was merely the first sign or SYMPTOM of a much deeper cause. You have been brainwashed by mainstream media who, like parrots, repeat over and over again that "the mortgage crisis threatens to spread across the whole economy, there should be action taken to prevent this spreading", etc, when in reality THAT VERY ACTION PEOPLE ARE DEMANDING is what caused the problem in the first place. It's people thinking that economies can be "fixed" by conscious manipulation and tinkering. This is impossible for a central body, like the government or the Fed, to do. Central bodies simply do not have the required information to make intelligent decisions. They think they do, many people like you think they do as well. But they don't and never have. To have the proper information requires knowledge of every single person's daily choices, wants, desires, and purpose.
You want housing to be regulated more because you think it is possible for the problem to be fixed by the government. But the government cannot make any regulation in the market that will work long term, because every time they intervene to "solve" one problem, they cause further problems in other places. The current recession is a consequence of such interventions. The Fed can do nothing except print dollars, and the government can do nothing except use force and coercion. To solicit these bodies as a permanent source of getting what you want, will ONLY MAKE THINGS WORSE.
I will say this again, because you seem to not want to understand. The current problems with this economy do NOT stem from what you hear daily on the MSM news, that is, mortgage lenders. It stems from a more deep problem, which is a country that is not producing, and borrowing in order to consume. This cannot last. These problems further stem from a belief of the acceptance of inflation from the Fed and government intervention by spending money as a means to achieve "stability" in an otherwise "chaotic" market. These things are even further stemming from a very deep seeded and strong belief pattern among the public that centralized control of the market can make it better. It is a left over part of our heritage to use force to solve our problems. But using the state or its financier the Fed, will only makes things worse overall.
Now, as long as certain people benefit from this corrupt system, they will chant its benefits, they will fund intellectuals who chant the same things, they will support anyone who chants it...meanwhile everyone, including themselves, suffer in the long term. They suffer because the means they used to achieve their objectives (wanting handouts, using the Fed for "price stability" and more recently even handouts from the Fed). The means chosen were the wrong means because they ignore the nature of human action in a world of constant flux. Stability in human affairs cannot be achieved. Humans are not stable. We change, we adapt, we learn, we reason. There is ALWAYS change in human affairs. But all the means used to achieve this cannot work. That's why we are suffering.
All the recent signs of the economy show that we are a society in decline, that every "temporary" solution to fix a problem is never temporary, because it creates new problems on top of old ones, of which the people call for further short term fixes, which creates even more problems, etc. All while this occurs, never once did anyone mention self-responsibility, I mean TRUE self responsibility, where we make it a habit to NOT seek the state for help, other than protection against others from fraud and violence. When a state becomes too involved in the market, as it has been for the last 60 years or so, then the basic mechanisms of the state (protection against fraud and violence) become secondary, and the survival and legitimacy of the state itself is fought for by those in power. The state more and more finds that it can get away with more and more crimes, because in every problem that occurs in society , the state is solicited for help as ultimate arbiter, even if the problems are caused by the state itself. So it gets bigger and badder, and they get away with it. Everyone in the top positions in government work for the government because they do not believe in the private sector. If they did they would stay in the private sector, which is much more honorable and moral, because in order to live well you have to satisfy other people's wants and desires. If you are in government, the richest people are the bullies and criminals. Those criminals in the private sector then get attracted to the criminals in the government, and a partnership of crime begins.
You know what's sad? How even now as we speak, how all the problems created by the state and the Fed are being ignored. Too many people simply refuse to believe anything other than "freedom kills"...very Orwellian. They simply blame the actions of individuals and they never stop to question the state as an institution, they simply blame Mr. X and Mr. Y., instead of the ideas of the state and its proper place in human affairs.
Actually, Gramm's wife, Wendy, was Chairman of the Commodity Futures Trading Board. Soon after she left the Board she took a position on the Enron Board of Directors, at a salary of $200,00 per year. After her departure the Board passed a regulation that limited regulatory scrutiny of Enron's energy derivatives trading business. (Ref: "The Smartest Guys in the Room", page 96). And as our intrepid and compassionate Administration implies "It's really a shame that that all those little folks put their life savings into what was obviously a gigantic fraud. But that will teach them not to be so greedy. After all, isn't that what individual responsibility is all about?"
Drew...
I'll tell you what is sad... as Moynihan said in congress so many years ago:
"Everyone is entitled to their own opinion, but you are not entitled to your own facts"
You have such ideological blinders on that you are incapable of addressing the facts of these events. When someone disagrees with you and points them out then you resort to name calling... "Keynesian slime"... "anti-capitalist"... "hater of free markets"... "communist."
I've produced videos of leading economists, Federal Regulators, Treasury Secretaries, and countless articles by leading economists on the Fed, Monetary policy and the Bubble economy... and not once have you addressed a single point that I or any of them have made.
On the flip side of that, when you make inflated claims that no one here can tell you which regulations were involved in this... I not only detailed them for you... I gave you historical time lines for the events and when they happened, as well as giving you links for verification... which you never do.
Instead here you are again with another empty rhetorical rant, making claims that you can't substantiate, blathering on about "Orwellian New speak" while you are the one serving up the biggest gobs of it yourself.
You have a serious problem with reality dude... I really suggest you get professional help.
Rasputin @ 79:
I already told you that insults will not persuade me of your ideas. I appreciate how you put a lot of effort in posting all those things, but in all seriousness I don't look at them all because I am more interested in what you think. I know about those links, I read a lot and I know the who's who in the market. I don't respond to every single thing because it's just too messy for my eyes. There's links and bold type and copy pasting all over the place. Personally I do not like that, but that's just me.
You say I have ideological blinders on. I admit that I do have ideologies, but they do not blind me. But I will also say that you do have an ideology as well, as does everyone on the planet. I believe that all humans have an ideology. But I do not think that everyone has an ideology that can be named. Unfortunately I see too many people play "categorize this" when it comes to things and people, especially in the information age. I make that mistake all the time, I wish I didn't. It's simply an easy way out for our minds to grasp complex things.
My ideology is that I first accept that the world and the people in it are complex and constantly changing. This fact allows me to conclude that it is impossible to pursue social policies and agendas that try to create "stability" or an unchanging world, when in the realm of a constantly in flux state of human affairs. This is why I am against the Federal Reserve, against an interfering government, and against philosophies that deny the existence of the individual and always in flux choices. It's not because I want to make money and say fuck you to the world, or because I have an agenda of wanting to make world that benefits my political views. It's because I very much think that we must pursue policies and agendas that WORK and are in line with human nature.
People have been around for 250,000 years, and it is only in the last few hundred that we have found a way to make the average citizen live more prosperous and healthy lives. Sure its not perfect, there is no such thing as perfection in the realm of human action, but there is a set of perfect principles that we have the capability of discovering. It is these principles that I personally look for that are always true by the nature of people. For example, no person can deny that humans use the best means available in order to achieve their ends. One cannot deny this because to attempt to deny it is to use the very same axiom and hence show its proof. These are the principles that eventually flow into my writing when I blurt out "End the Fed!" and other admittedly crude statements that could be construed as one dimensional or blinded by ideology. But I have taken a long time to come to these conclusions. They are not whims.
If you look at your ideology, you will find how you view the world according to what actions you want to take in order to achieve your ends. I will tell you right now that nobody knows which means are better for you than you yourself. I will aso tell you that this truth is not important to those in government or the Fed. It is not because they don't try or they don't have good intentions. Some of them do. But what people are asking of them is to do the impossible. The Fed has simply no way of creating stability in money, because they do not have the best KNOWLEDGE, both of those "means" I said were best for you, as well as what to do and when. All they can do is look at past data. They cannot know what decisions will be made by people in a complex and changing world. But that is what we say they MUST do. But they can't, the effort is futile.
The same goes to the government. Sure, we could have them create a whole list of do's and don'ts for the mortgage industry in order to create stability in housing, but what about the next bubble that MUST occur because the Fed is still operating and pumping money into the market? There is absolutely no way of knowing exactly where the next bubble will be, how long it will last, and when it will burst. If this knowledge was known, then the people with this knowledge would be able to take over the world. Thus, my point that regulating the lenders is futile still stands because by focusing your mind on the lenders only and forgetting about the Fed and how it is going to create another bubble, you are going to set yourself up for thinking that it's bad businessmen doing bad things only.
You admitted that the bubble was created by the Fed, so that's good. But you never once mentioned that the Fed should stop operating. You stopped at the point of regulating the lenders. Can't you see that this will not stop the bubbles? You cannot control people making individual choices everyday according to what they think is best for themselves. You just can't. All you can do is try to stop and punish those people who harm others. This is the state's job, and it is doing a piss poor job of it because it is knee deep in messing about the world, killing leaders and conducting economic hit jobs, and not caring about the very people that are paying their salaries, namely you and me. They have forgotten about us. They have forgotten about us because they are so big. Look at all the nations of the world that have small governments. Look at how much they focus on their own people's welfare. Not ours. Ours has been touted as the world's police officer, so they don't have time to charge the real criminals that are committing crimes, they are too busy committing crimes themselves. This is because they are so big and so they are getting out of control. This is the real danger. Governments must be controlled, not unleashed. This is because the nature of the state is the use of force and coercion. You cannot unleash a beast like that and expect it to behave.
You are a seriously disturbed individual Drew and you do need help!
@ Rasputin-
To me it looks like all Drew is saying is that to act as if the sole issue with our current economic issues is fraudulent lending is not looking at the whole issue- like trying to alleviate a symptom without curing the disease. I don't see how that line of thought means you become a "seriously disturbed individual". People like Peter Schiff have been talking about this all the time, you can look him up yourself as well. (Have you seen any of the old videos of Ron Paul back in the 80's like when he debated one of the Federal Reserve Governors? No reason to dismiss people who agree with him so easily)
80 Drew
Your long "explanation" is only self-justification and and Henry Paulson/John McCain republican talking points.
ysbaddaden @ 83:
Oh come on man did you really read what he said? Paulson and McCain are not in league with that line of thinking at all. McCain is just going to repeat the Bush legacy- and it completely clashes with any type of libertarian/austrioeconomic viewpoint.
Shoaib Qadri @ 82:
This is the statement of mine that Drew took issue with at Drew 65:
Please note that the actions of the Fed and Greenspan's actions were noted, so at no time did I ever simply say that deregulation was the sole cause. Further, in attempts to have rational discourse on the subject I submitted the writings of economist Dr. Thomas Palley who has written extensively on the debt delusion and the "Bubble Economy" and traced it back to Ronald Reagan and his economic theories... which use economist Milton Friedman as its ideological base.
In a court of law there are three principle parties, whether civil or criminal. You have two parties that have a dispute, conflicting opinions about a series of events that have occurred. You also have a judge, whose charge it is to find out the truth and he or a jury must be convinced by having the disputing parties submit verifiable factual evidence as to support the truth of their claims.
In order to keep the presentation of their evidence, necessary to "prove" the truth of their claim, within the province of "rational discourse" and not within the realm of "useless polemics" where the opposing parties simply shout their opinions back and forth, strict rules of evidence apply.
There are all kinds of evidence that can be submitted; historical, witness, forensics, expert testimony and so on, but the one over whelming requirement is that they be factual in nature and verifiable.
If a witness were to say "I think that so and so committed the crime", the judge would say... I'm not interested in what you think, tell me simply what you saw. Otherwise your evidence will be thrown out as heresay and be inadmissible" because it lacks the factual requirement to be considered as proof.
Now Drew started with an attack and made specific claims which I responded to at Rasputin 75:
And I responded directly to that claim of his with a detailed response and just as the opponents in a court room square off and submit their "evidence" in an argument to prove the truth of their claim, I linked to my sources.
Drew chose not to respond to it though and I called him on it in my post above:
And Drews Response:
Drew puts on his ideological blinders and says I don't care to look at the facts... I want to argue on the basis of opinion. Well at that point were back to the court room analogy and "rational discourse" ceases and "useless polemics" that are not verifiable facts prevail.
Sorry... I will engage in "rational discourse" only because I prefer to get to the truth of matters, not engage in empty rhetoric.
You say to me:
When Drew posted those on another thread on this site I did go and look at them. I have an open mind and I'm willing to look at the arguments of someone who may have an opposing point of view. It might interest you to know that Schiff says many of the same things that the economist I quoted on the "Bubble Economy", Dr. Thomas Palley had to say.
Were I to take the position that Drew now adopts though... I would never have looked and that is the fundamental difference between the two of us. I write in the interest of illuminating the truth of an argument.
Drew, on the other hand, puts on his blinders to any evidence that conflicts with his point of view and responds with an unsubstantiated opinion. Drew's purpose is to indoctrinate and cares little about any factual basis in what he says.
So "rational discourse" with him is impossible and further conversation with him is pointless and a waste of time. He can continue to post his rants all he pleases, but he can do that all on his own... intellectual masterbation is after all a solitary past-time.
Shoaib Qadri @ 84:
That's true. McCain and Paulson are planning on doing the exact opposite of using sound thinking. They are going to use the same failed policies that have never worked before. This is what happens when people do not look closely at which means to use to achieve which ends. They do not know them because they never learned how to do it. They are both just a couple of empty headed power seekers. Many people think there is a country-wide conspiracy to bring this nation down. I am one of them. I will say that there is a conspiracy among certain people, of course not everyone, but their plans can only be realized by being surrounded by stupid and thoughtless people who let it happen.
McCain has war experience, does this automatically make him fit to run a nation that is supposed to be free and prosperous? How can war experience be the SOLE reason to get elected? McCain is so ignorant of economics and foreign policy. But the state run MSM is doing their best to make all the revelations of stupidity of McCain to be nothing but "senior slips". Anything and everything is said in order to deflect attention away from the fact that McCain is a tool.
See, all the state bureaucrats want power for themselves. They will thus never support a man or woman of principle and virtue, because this means they will not get what they want. Only an ignorant empty shell of a person is attractive to the neo-cons, because that way all they have to do is ask, and their President will oblige because he/she does not know good from bad, beneficial from harmful, destructive from constructive. This is also why the neo-cons want to give the Presidential position so much authority. It is virtually impossible for the neo-con bureaucrats to get what they want from Congress, because at least Congress thinks and debates to a certain extent. The neo-cons do not want to think nor debate. They want to do without thinking. That is the probably the WORST thing any leader can do, because the means chosen to achieve ends has to at least include thinking.
This is what happens when a country becomes ruled by thousands of bureaucrats. The Presidents over time must become, by design, dumber and dumber than the last one. Every time a dumb President makes dumb decisions and screws things up, it requires a more and more intelligent President to fix the mess up. But that requires the bureaucrats to SUPPORT an intelligent President. But this requires the bureaucrats to not get what they want! It's a vicious cycle in the downwards direction. Many people think Bush is evil. I think he is just so incredibly dumb and empty (he bankrupted 3 companies before going into government, this is typical of most politicians) that he does whatever ANY of the bureaucrats tell him to do. He is therefore a real life example of someone who acts without thinking. Maybe that IS the ultimate evil. I don't think people are truly evil in their DNA. At least it hasn't been proven yet. I think that people use such incorrect means to achieve their ends that their means can be construed as evil. This is why most of the intelligent people think Bush is evil, and most of the dumb people think Bush is the best President ever. I think that makes sense.
This country is producing dumb Presidents for the same reason we are producing dumb graduates. Our schooling system needs to be completely released from the grip of the bureaucrats and the state. We need to educate each other. Parents shoudl be allowed to educate their kids and not get in trouble for it. Knowledge should be taught and learned by each of us. This is hard to do in our current environment, because both parents need to work because the costs of living is rising all the time. This is perhaps the SOLE reason why I want to abolish the Federal Reserve. As long as the Fed exists, people will find to be in a constant uphill battle of working for money that constantly loses value and hence purchasing power. By ending the Federal Reserve system, families can become more self-sufficient, and one parent can stay at home to raise the kids. For me, it doesn't matter if it's one partner or the other, but at least one should be watching over them.
The kids today are not being raised by parents, they are being raised by outsiders, such as public schools, TV, in general we can say that the state raises our kids. Is it any wonder why we are becoming so dumb? Learning is best achieved by using personal mentors, who can monitor a child over the years and know how to adapt to him or her. Now, what we have are kids going from one person teacher to the next, in a never-ending cycle of relearning the same shit over and over again, because each new teacher introduces the same shit over and over again. This lifestyle then evolves into adulthood, where relationships are always breaking down and starting anew, why jobs are always breaking down and starting anew, and why even KNOWLEDGE is breaking down and starting anew. i mean, how else can we explain the fact that so many people are using the same means that have already been shown to be mistakes time and time again throughout history?
Everyone, the goal of ending the Federal Reserve IS a worthy and moral goal. So many problems stem from having a central bank that most people think it's simply not possible for so many people to be so wrong about it. But they are, and hopefully most of you can see this someday, but hopefully sooner rather than later.
Being a Texan, I can tell you that it's S.O.P. here that when your career is on the skids as a political hack, you switch jobs and join the K-Street Mob. Phil Graham is no exception. When he was in Congress, he was nothing but a yes man for whatever GOP was running the show. But you can make more money peddling influence, which is why he got out of public service and into the private sector. Many Texans know him for what he is: a sleazy scumbag with the morals of a rattlesnake.
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