10 House Races Heading In One Direction
By Nicole Belle Thursday Jun 05, 2008 6:30pmAnd it's not good for the Republican party.
CA-04 — OPEN (Doolittle) — Solid Republican to Likely Republican
CO-04 — Marilyn Musgrave — Lean Republican to Toss Up
CT-04 — Chris Shays — Lean Republican to Toss Up
IL-10 — Mark Kirk — Lean Republican to Toss Up
NM-02 — OPEN (Pearce) — Likely Republican to Lean Republican
NY-29 — Randy Kuhl — Lean Republican to Toss Up
NC-08 — Robin Hayes — Lean Republican to Toss Up
OH-01 — Steve Chabot — Lean Republican to Toss Up
VA-02 — Thelma Drake — Likely Republican to Lean Republican
WA-08 — Dave Reichert — Lean Republican to Toss Up
And wait till they get some of that sweet Obama money.
We have some solid Blue America candidates running in some of those races. Your help can push it even further into the Democratic category. I'm just sayin'...
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the obama wave of change coast to coast..baby
Dave Reichart is a BushCo clone and not all that bright. Marcy Burner is a smart and articulate Harvard Grad progressive Democrat. She almost beat him last time. Her odds are better this time.
I drive a lot.
http://freewayblogger.blogspot.com/2008/06/around-californiasaroyan.html
Chris Matthews and Andrea Mitchell just spent several minutes howling about the, to them, appropriate metaphor they and others on MSNBC happened upon when a garbage truck arrived at Feinstein's house this morning to take out the trash.
The howlingly funny metaphor, in case you missed it, was more fully explained later in the show when Chris Matthews drew the comparison between the end of the Clinton Campaign and a garbage truck arriving to throw out the trash, complete with Andrea Mitchell, Matthews and other MSNBC personalities howling in laughter about it.
[deleted. It's bad manners to be rude to the site which pays for the bandwidth for you to insult us. - site monitor]
There's no way Charlie Brown doesn't wipe the floor with that carpetbagger's ass in the California 4th. He only lost to Doolittle by 3 percent and that was before he was indicted and the FBI raided his house. Now some chump from L.A. thinks he's going to win it on Bush's and Doolittle's records against a war hero? Puhleeeeze!
It's gonna be a bloodbath. People are so fed up with the Republicans. The $4.00-gal gas threshold seems to have REALLY gotten people's attention. Right when gas was cruising up to that threshold I was still driving through a canyon of SUV's to work, I was still fighting with traffic for 30-45 minutes every morning, I was still parking on the top floor of my garage at work.
Just in the last six weeks or so, I have seen that canyonscape of SUV's fall away. Traffic day in and day out is thinner by a tremendous margin. I have gotten so spoiled that I routinely leave my house 20 minutes later and I still get to the office on time. The garage is not as full, and the vehicles that are now starting to appear in dribs and drabs are the vespas and motorcycles.
My Republican coworkers are either "not feeling the McCain love" or changing their voter registration to Democratic and voting for Obama. One who I'm still not sure of (my lunch buddy, as it turns out) has asked that we walk to lunch 2 or 3 days of the week because the gas cost is killing his budget.
It's schadenfreude for me but some of these people have been sitting there for 10 years with their fingers in their ears screaming "LA LA LA LA LA LA LA LA" while all of this has been set in motion. I maintain that Bush was only successful inasmuch as he managed to avoid hurting all of the people all of the time with his policies. Now that the polish is off the Republican turd, the cronies and backers are making hay while the Sun shines. I don't think oil is actually worth $138 a barrel. In fact, I expect to see the price plummet right around October. But the public will see through that, as they are also going to be looking for homes and jobs or know someone who is.
And of course we're all sick of seeing flag-draped coffins in our nightmares.
I hate Republicans. It's just that simple. I despise the party and everything it stands for.
Its Me - You're a putz! You have no class whatsoever. I personally hope they leave your comment up and still post that video if for no other reason than to highlight what a rude putz you actually are. Are you representative of most Clinton supporters? If so, no wonder she lost.
It's Me @ 4:
FIFY!
the fruits of BAD BUSH BUSNIESS effects everything and one
the gop is not amune
time for new BLOOD in DC
WE NEED JOBS stop outsourcing america
STOP illegals two border agnets in line no more corrupt agents
Stop illgeal arab gas gouge - limit oil amounts specalators can buy OIL SCALPERS must go
BushEconomy @ 9:
Spell Check is your friend.
It's Me @ 4:
Yes, Matthews and Mrs. Greenspan have had it in for Mrs. Clinton and have made no bones about it. And that thas been irksome, even infuriating. But let them have their little ha-ha moments, friend. The worm has turned at last, the Dems are off an running, and "Tweety and Alan's Sweety" are going to see their erstwhile hero, McCain, get beaten so bad that even Barbara Bush (his adoptive mama) won't recognize him.
More to the point of this thread, come November, McCain is going to have plenty of company in the electoral garbage can where he will be sharing space with almost every current Republican Representative, and the whole stinking gaggle of them will be looking up at the smiling faces of President Obama and VP (it still could happen!) Clinton as they put on the lid and get ready to wheel the can out to the waiting truck.
Cheer up, amigo, the long nightmare of incompetent corporate fascism is coming to an end. Tweet and Andy are not important -- nor is anything they say. What is important is that bad people are being kicked out of office and good people are replacing them.
I'm a Democrat who lives in CT's 4th District: ehere Republican Chris Shays is the representitive in the House.
He's been around for a long long time and if the reelection of Joe Lieberman (also of CT) has taught me anything, it's that many CT voters are so blinded by familiarity and name-recognition that sadly the issues don't matter much.
CT's 4th district is a highly affluent area where rich white people are a huge percentage of the voters. It's the only Republican House seat in all of New England, and I'm pessimistic of "Crazy Shayze" being unseated. =(
The repukes don't have all that to worry about ... in 2006 the dims won 50 seats ... but due to election fraud they only got 29 ... they will do the same thing again ... and Obama isn't chance ... he will be business as usual ... he scoffed when approached about election fraud ... didn't even want to discuss it ... so as far as I'm concerned he's a corporatist like the rest ... the repukes won't have too much to fear as long as corporations control the election and count votes in secret ...
Thelma Drake is a coward and an awful person. Her sole job is to tow the party line. She has done zero that is original or beneficial.
spirittoo @ 13:
Couldn't we get another country to come here to monitor our elections? I'm sure many would be willing.
Edgar 420 Friendly @ 7:
LOL! Gotta' love that.
Nothing about the pro-Obama slime at MSNBC who drew that metaphor on nantional television about the end of the Clinton Campaign being like a garbage truck throwing out the trash, huh?
Kinda' says it all.
Awesome. I love when C&L keeps me up to date on the lesser known races in the country. This is where real change is going to occur. Thanks.
Come on folks. When was the last time you saw a 'lean republican?' Just sayin.
IL-10. Kirk and Dan Seals (D) are close but Seals just barely lost last time. Kirk has voted lockstep with Bush and the IL blogs are all over it (see www.archpundit.com my personal fav). Kirk continues to cozy up to Bush (in recent videos and fundraisers) and I am hoping that the moron goopers in Lake County (my county) have finally wised up.
Kirk sucks. He sends out lying email and newsletters (but only those who closely follow politics would know it's bullshit). He is totally full of shit (and I have relished in sending him emails stating so...he keeps me on his email list, though. Either no one reads my scathing words or he's hoping for a miracle conversion.
Anyone so inclined to help the Dem cause, http://www.dansealsforcongress.com/
Add: 1st-ID Larry Larocco
1st- Walt Minnick
I used to live in southwest Ohio... there are few places in the country that are more pro-Republican than the area around Cincinnati, and it explains why they've elected idiots like Steve Chabot, Mean Jean Schmidt, and my least favorite person whom I've met in real life, Crybaby Steve Boehner. Boehner is a perfect example of the self-loathing that Republicans embody: his district has had terrible economic problems for decades, and even though he refuses on principle to bring federal pork (aka economic stimulus aka jobs) back to his district, the people there keep electing him because he has an "R" next to his name. What idiots.
McCain has no hope in this election anyway - the conservative guy I work with who admits to being a "one-issue" voter in the past when it came to guns and abortion admitted yesterday that he's going to vote for Obama because "we've tried dumb in the past, and dumb isn't working very well." McCain's just a sacrificial lamb.
It's Me @ 4:
I didn't get a chance to watch Hardball yet...It's not surprising that they are acting like this. They want to keep dividing us. I've written a lot about the horrible media...I'm still working on a long post about Jeffrey Toobin's idiotic behavior...
Jo @ 15:
That offer was made and the US would not allow it ... I wonder why? People keep saying we need to get more dems in office ... well we did ... and 21 seat were stolen ... count on them doing the same this year ...
akovia @ 20:
I wish I could vote for those two.
Edgar 420 Friendly @ 5:
It's going to be a bloodbath in the fourth.
Brown is a member of the ACLU and has apeared with Code Pink moveon and Cidy Sheehan.
He could be running against the devil himself and some people in the fourth wouldn't vote for him.
The rest can be made to listen to reason but only if Brown is both the netroots candidate.
And the candidate that you not only donate to but that you get others to donate to.
Like I said Col. Brown is a good candidate but it's going to be a bloodbath in the fourth.
slippy hussein toad @ 8:
National polls around this time in the season of 1988 had Dukakis beating Papa Bush. National polls don't matter anyway, since we don't have national elections. This is a state-by-state race, and the Democrats are in the best shape they've been in since 1992.
akovia @ 20:
I wish I could vote for them.
Along the same lines, here are some current poll ratings for the Senate races as well.
If the map on that link became the results, we'd have 58 Dems -- two away from a filibuster-proof majority. The map also has four states just barely leaning Republican, within the margin of error: Minnesota (where Al Franken can still pull out a victory), North Carolina (where Dole is in some trouble), Oregon (that could very easily tip Democrat if the organizing is done well) and, amazingly, Texas. That'd would be 62.
Let's push hard!
slippy hussein toad @ 6:
Funny, I rented a car at Ft Lauderdale last week (been driving rentals for last few months as my truck's been down). I usually rent a compact (usually a Chevy Cobalt or such) from Avis. This time, they offered me a V-8 Mustang for the same rate as the 4-cyl econobox I usually get. Seems that no one wants what were "luxury" class cars due to gas, so they're letting them go for economy rates. Since I'm probably getting laid off this week anyway, and I've still got the company plastic, I said "Sure, it'll probably be the last time I'll ever get to drive a V-8 again."
Driving up US-1 in South Miami today, I passed a very nice, newer model Jeep Cherokee V-8 for sale for only $1500. I thought it might make a nice place to live in, as long as I don't drive it...
I didn't know exactly where to post this but it seems correct to remind everyone that not all the Dems. are good ones;
From the Miami Herald.
2 Florida Dems won't join Obama bandwagon
Posted on Fri, Jun. 06, 2008
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BY BETH REINHARD
breinhard@MiamiHerald.com
U.S. Rep. Tim Mahoney calls himself a Blue Dog Democrat. Some Democrats think he's just a dog.
At a time when some of his Hillary Clinton-loyal colleagues would rather stick a flag pin in their eye than rally behind Barack Obama -- but are doing so anyway -- Mahoney can't bring himself to climb aboard.
Mahoney, you'll recall, got elected by the skin of his canines just 19 months ago in the Palm Beach County-based district represented by Republican Mark Foley, who quit after his come-ons to ex-pages were discovered.
The Democratic establishment went to bat to help Mahoney beat a more experienced Republican, spending hundreds of thousands of dollars and fighting the GOP's perfectly reasonable effort to take Foley's name off the ballot. Union officials knocked on doors. Former Sen. Bob Graham campaigned with Mahoney in the homestretch.
Now, Mahoney is shunning the party's first African-American presidential nominee.
Mahoney blames the dispute over Florida's convention delegates for his commitment problem, but the real reason he's distancing himself from a liberal Democrat is concern for his own survival. The GOP spent roughly $2 million against him in 2006; he faces three Republican challengers in 2008.
''It's disappointing that people who have received a lot of help from the Democratic Party would not support Barack Obama,'' said Kirk Wagar, Obama's finance chairman in Florida. ``I wrote Tim one of his first checks, so I am personally a little disappointed. I'd be interested to know on which issues he disagrees with Sen. Obama.''
Which segues nicely into the following point: One of Mahoney's centerpiece bills, quite dear to his insurance-weary constituents, would create a national pool to serve as a backstop in a devastating hurricane. Obama supports it. McCain does not.
But when the Obama campaign slammed McCain on the bill this week, only co-sponsor Ron Klein of Boca Raton got on the horn with reporters. Mahoney -- and the voice of his constituents -- was missing.
Following my inquiry about the call, his office sent out a press release chiding McCain for not grasping ''the impending danger'' and praising Obama for understanding ''the need and urgency'' of the insurance crisis.
The other Democratic elected official in Florida refusing to join the parade is U.S. Rep. Allen Boyd, who represents conservative North Florida. Mahoney and Boyd are among about 16 members of the Blue Dog Coalition in the House who have yet to endorse, according to Congressional Quarterly.
Their reticence bodes poorly for Obama, who can't win Florida without picking up competitive districts like the ones Mahoney and Boyd represent.
''I've said all along that my job isn't endorsing,'' Mahoney told The Miami Herald's Lesley Clark this week. ``My job is making sure whoever the candidate is endorses things for Florida.''
True, but isn't Mahoney also expected to show leadership in one of the most highly anticipated campaigns in American history?
Asked Graham: 'If Democrats can't win in a year when 80 percent of the people say the country is going in the wrong direction, and less than 30 percent have a favorable attitude toward the president, and there's an unpopular war dragging on, and the economy is flat, and Florida is one of the most adversely affected states, then what's it going to take? This may be the equivalent of a baseball team turning in its franchise and saying, `We just can't win.' ''
Mahoney's got shortstop.
Beth Reinhard is the political writer at The Miami Herald.
The Pearce seat in New Mexico will certainly go Republican. Bet on it. The district is filled with some of the stupidest people in this country.
scarlet p. @ 3:
Nice work.
Hey knuckle-draggers . . . it's spelled: T O A S T
Nice ratings, but CA-04 is "lean GOP" at worst, not "likely." McClintock winning is good for Brown, as McClintock is a carpetbagger wingnut with a history of losing races. Sound familar? McClintock can joing Oberweis in IL-14 and Jenkins in LA-06 as "perennial loser" GOP candidates.
Sondra from WestPalm @ 30:
Thanks (I guess) for posting this. Mahoney was my Rep when I lived in Loxahatchee and I was very happy to have him; he responded to emails and seems like one of the good guys.
It sounds like the re-election jitters have got him, but still, in this climate, running against three Rethugs who support McBush, I don't think supporting Obama would do him in, even in a district that was fairly red. Foreclosures are through the roof out there, not to mention gas costs (I had to move to Dade Co).
I suggest emailing him at www.mahoney.house.gov. Since one has to be a "local" to get email to him, use ZIP+4 of 33470+5518 to get through the filter.
I just gave the DNC today, and gave to Obama again last month. Tapped out for now.
Karen @ 28:
Yeah, we need bigger majorities in both houses to overcome the Blue Dogs and the GOP. If we want to undo everything the Bushies did and investigate the hell out of them--pony up what you can, volunteer, spread the word, do whatever you can.
Here is the Actblue link to Betsy Markey of CO-04
http://www.actblue.com/entity/fundraisers/18134
We have been trying to the crook and hypocrite Marilyn Musgrave(a perennial on the top ten of unethical Congressional members at CREW and a water carrier for James Dobson) out of here and almost did it in 06. This year its very close. The district is 80% rural and that's where Musgrave gets her base, but she is an embarrassment to us in Fort Collins/Boulder. Betsy is an awesome candidate.
Its great to see a post about this race at C&L and I urge everyone to drop her a little at Actblue, and get the word out across the blogosphere that Colorado is going blue this fall and this race is very winnable.
This reminds me of something. I can't put my finger on it but I'm sure it happened a couple years back. Race after race getting less and less sure for the republicans as the Election fast approaches. Hm. Gotta be something. Oh well.
Sweet! Senator Obama's the leader but it's a grass roots movement. In another sort of country it would take a revolution.
fastfeat @ 35:
I live in OH-01. Maybe if someone catches Chabot screwing a goat behind St. Ann's on Sunday morning he might not be elected. Of course if the Democrats put someone up who seems like they have have a even half-a-wit, it could get interesting, but they haven't done that since....I dunno...was Roxanne Qualls Oh-01?
Mean Jean, though, she got through on a squeaker last time and would have lost if the Ohio Democratic party didn't spend the previous spring marginalizing her only real opponent.
gf120581 @ 34:
The people of the fourth are leary at best of electing an ACLU afiliated Congressman.
And both the RNC and Club for Growth are going to flood the area with everything they have.
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