First Ads Go Up Against North Carolina's Anti-Gay Amendment 1
Republican legislators in North Carolina succeeded in putting Amendment 1 on the ballot for the May 8 election. The law is written so broadly that it would not only ban gay marriage, but civil unions and domestic partnerships not only for LGBT couples, but for straight couples as well. A broad coalition of more than 100 groups is vigorously fighting against the Amendment, and they went on television Monday with their first ads.
The first two ads highlight the unintended consequences of passing such a law. One features a woman who had been violently abused by a man she wasn't married to, expressing fear that Amendment 1 would invalidate the protection order that keeps her and her daughter safe. The second ad features a mother who is fearful that Amendment 1 will take away her daughter's health insurance because she isn't married. Both ads are powerful reminders that the people behind laws like Amendment 1 don't really care about the people who are harmed by their policies.
Adam Bink makes the case that the Amendment can be defeated:
If you follow conventional wisdom, you probably took one quick look at: (a) a map, (b) a poll, (c) a date on the calendar, (d) the issue, and concluded by thinking, Oh, North Carolina is a conservative southern state, May 8 (Election Day) is primary day for Republican presidential candidates, more than 50% of North Carolina voters say they'd vote for Amendment One, marriage is an icky gay issue. This is a sure loser.
But smart politics isn't about a glance at whatever the media tell us matters most. Some of the biggest upsets have come unexpectedly because underlying dynamics go ignored.


