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From Tuesday's Rachel Maddow Show, it turns out that Mitt Romney, during a fundraiser in Montana on July 11th, told supporters of a conversation he had with Ronald Reagan's former Secretary of State James Baker. According to Romney, Baker told him how ... following a National Security Briefing on Latin America... The Gipper told Baker that he wanted "no more national security briefings for his first 100 days so that he could focus entirely on the economy."

Problem is, as the Conservative Weekly Standard and AEI point out, the story isn't true. Worse. Romney tells this story as if ignoring national security for the first three months of his presidency is something desirable (which should come as no surprise following his miserable performance in Debate-3 on National Security).

Not only can a president not "pick-n-choose" what parts of his job he can ignore for months on end, but the fact Romney was reciting this story as if it were something he might do should give us all pause.



So Now Obama Wants Defense Reform

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National Defense magazine reports that President Obama has recognized that our defense program is way overextended, and it's now time to develop long-term strategic objectives for national defense. Tweets Sandra Erwin, "Obama calls for fundamental review of DOD missions a year too late. The 2010 QDR was supposed to do that." Serious military analysts are skeptical.

“Without a change in strategy, cuts in spending are worse than doing nothing,” said Christopher Preble, director of foreign policy studies at the libertarian Cato Institute.

The absence of “strategic choice” is the reason why decisions about where to cut defense spending have been nearly impossible to make, said Gordon Adams, American University professor and former director of the Office of Management and Budget. Cutting the defense budget should not be about doing the same with less, Adams said. 

A serious strategic review would have to determine what missions to scale back, so the military could be downsized accordingly. Only then can major cost savings be achieved, Adams contended. “At the end of the day, it’s about policy makers restraining their impulse to use the military in the reckless way it’s been used in the past 20 years.”

Meanwhile, the right wing will flip out over any proposed cuts in defense. Faced with Obama's announcement of cutting $400 billion over a ten-year period, Thomas Donnelly loses it and accuses the president of "gutting defense."

Indeed, it will be very difficult to ‘do it again’ on the modernization accounts; there’s not too much left to cut or stretch out. And further reductions in the size of the force, particularly among American land forces, is a way of asking those in uniform to again to more with less.

What’s also likely to be in the ‘do it again’ category is the pace of military operations.  The president pretends he will conduct a “fundamental review of America’s missions, capabilities and role in a changing world” as though he can alter fundamental facts about the international system – the world, for better or worse, will not function in the same way as American military power wanes – like an investment portfolio. Nor has he, in the White House, acted much differently than his predecessors.

Yes, the defense budget has doubled in ten years, but Donnelly only sees an anemic shadow of the former war machine that took Iraq and Afghanistan down. Despite huge operating costs and spiraling acquisition costs, all must be maintained, nay, more money spent. He would believe that the world will still force the US military to invade its regions to maintain Freedom and Democracy for America, and Democrats are the only ones who live in an illusion as they plan out military budgets. What a world. 



Dancing With Congress: Tax Cut Boogie, Take One

Today's "summit" between the House and Senate leaders and President Obama looks a little like Bristol Palin pretending to be a dancer on TV. Everyone shuffles around, but it doesn't look pretty or feel quite right. Everyone has a favorite and everyone's rooting for theirs to win.

After the summit, the first couple stepped up: Mitch McConnell and John Boehner. They mentioned bifurcation as a compromise on the vote. Looked pretty, sounded good, but they knew they had Dave Camp on the judges panel waiting to shoot it down.

On the other side, President Obama stepped up with an optimists' view and sunny outlook, claiming that these summits would continue, that people wanted them to work together, and naming his priorities. Extending middle class tax cuts, ratifying the START treaty, and extending unemployment were on his to-do list. Applause all around.

And now the voting begins. Here's what's on the table with a 12/24 deadline looming large:

  • Unemployment extensions: Democrats want a year-long extension. Republicans want no extension.
  • Extension of Bush tax cuts: Democrats want middle class tax cuts and the stimulus tax cuts extended. Republicans want all tax cuts extended for all income levels. Wild card: BlueDog Democrats
  • START Treaty: As amazed as I am to even include this in the list, here it is. It must be approved by 2/3rds of the Senate before the end of the 111th Congress or the entire committee process begins again in the next session, meaning it could be delayed as much as another year, for nothing more than political grandstanding.
  • Medicare "Doc Fix": This delays the cut to doctors' reimbursements for 20% as it has each year. Note: It looks like this has now been pushed into the next session of Congress, since the president signed a 30-day extension today.
  • Defense Appropriations Bill, which currently includes DADT repeal and DREAM Act: DADT is the sticking point, of course, despite today's report from the military affirming minimal disruption if it's repealed. The only leverage the administration has on DADT repeal beyond the principle of the thing are pending court challenges, which they've kept alive in order to have that leverage. If it is not repealed in this session, it creates a policy mess for this administration and those who come behind it.

Those are the bargaining chips. How do they fall, in light of this appearance of bipartisanship which isn't really that at all? Assume the Republicans will not give an inch on tax cuts. Assume they're willing to allow unemployment extensions to expire. They should feel some duty toward our military and national security, so I imagine START and appropriations will be on the table.

Will they trade a one-year extension of the full tax cut package for a one-year extension of unemployment insurance? Will the DREAM Act survive or be sacrificed for DADT repeal? It really comes down to this: No side will get everything they want. All sides may get something they want. What do we want most?

How would you put all this together and get it done before December 24th?



Reduce the Defense Budget

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Rep. Barny Frank (D-MA) was joined by five senators and 51 Congressional representatives in a letter to the National Commission on Fiscal Responsibility and Reform that calls on the commission to examine the defense budget for potential savings. Frank is the chair of the House Financial Services Committee, and his observations are not new, but it's interesting that he got this company so near to the mid-term elections. The letter notes:

Much of these potential savings can be realized if we are willing to make an honest examination of the cost, benefit, and rationale of the extensive U.S. military commitment overseas, which in part remains a legacy of policy decisions made in the immediate aftermath of World War II and during the Cold War. Years after the Soviet threat has disappeared, we continue to provide European and Asian nations with military protection through our nuclear umbrella and the troops stationed in our overseas military bases. Given the relative wealth of these countries, we should examine the extent of this burden that we continue to shoulder on our own dime.
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We repeat that we are not urging reductions that in any way would cut resources and supplies necessary to protect American troops in the field. Similarly, while we are not opposed to an honest look at efforts at reforming the way that the Department of Defense provides health care and other services to personnel, we are opposed to cuts in services and increased fees for our veterans and military retirees.

The Project on Defense Alternatives conducted a study for Rep. Frank back in the summer that outlined a trillion dollars in defense reductions. While I don't agree with all of them, it's a nice start to the necessary reductions that we all know have to be implemented sooner or later. I really fail to see the need for four Army brigades and nine Air Force wings in Europe, 20 years after the fall of the Berlin Wall. It's just not justifiable, given today's environment and where the future may take us.

To make another point, this is not a call for isolationism. That's a lazy counterpoint to a complex issue. As Andrew Bacevich has pointed out in his new book "Washington Rules," our government's preponderance for global power projection drives the desire for a large military and multiple overseas deployments. We're not arguing against involvement in world affairs, but it doesn't justify such a large footprint. We would be far better off with a mobile, expeditionary capability that was stationed in the United States and a stronger emphasis on "soft power." But that's probably too sophisticated an argument for conservative hawks to understand.



Mitt Romney is Running for Bush's Third Term

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In Las Vegas last week, Mitt Romney looked to his own biography in proposing a new requirement for anyone seeking the presidency:

"In addition to the age of the president and the citizenship of the president and the birthplace of the president being set by the Constitution, I'd like it also to say that the president has to spend at least three years working in business before becoming president of the United States."

Of course, if Mitt Romney had his way, the President should also have an MBA from the prestigious Harvard Business School. He ought to have made millions in the private sector and earned notoriety for running a high-profile sports enterprise. A scion of a proud Republican family, the occupant of the White House should promise massive, Treasury-draining tax cuts which would deliver the lion's share of their benefits to the very richest Americans, himself and his family included. The President should also nevertheless pledge to balance the budget even while boosting defense spending. And in his ideal America, he would like to privatize Social Security and leave Americans to fend for themselves in the private health insurance marketplace.

If that profile sounds like Mitt Romney, that's because it is. Then again, the same description also applies to America's First MBA President*, George W. Bush. And we all know how well that worked out.

(Click a link to jump to the details for each below the fold):

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The experience of the past three decades shows that for the GOP, there are only two certainties in life: debt and tax cuts. But you'd never know that watching the Republican National Convention, where a massive ticking debt clock and obvious falsehoods like "President Obama has doubled the national debt" nevertheless dominate the proceedings.

Of course, the Not Intended to Be a Factual Statement Party long ago concluded that the truth will not set them free. So when Romney pollster Neil Newhouse insisted "We're not going to let our campaign be dictated by fact-checkers," he was merely confirming the Republicans' standard operating procedure now in place for over 30 years.

So, as the Republicans make Mitt Romney their official nominee for President of the United States, here are 15 things the GOP doesn't you to know about taxes and the debt.

(Click a link to jump to the details for each below):

  1. President Obama Cut Taxes for Almost All Working Americans
  2. Ronald Reagan Tripled the National Debt
  3. George W. Bush Doubled the National Debt
  4. Reagan Raised Debt Ceiling 17 Times, Bush Seven
  5. Tax Cuts Don't Pay for Themselves
  6. Almost All Working Americans Pay Taxes
  7. The GOP's "Job Creators" Don't Create Jobs
  8. Low Capital Gains Taxes Fuel Income Inequality...
  9. ...But Not Investment
  10. The Estate Tax Has Virtually No Impact on Family Farms and Businesses
  11. Income Inequality Has Reached an 80 Year High...
  12. ...While the Federal Tax Burden Has Hit a 60 Year Low
  13. Romney-Ryan Plan Another Massive Tax Cut Windfall for the Wealthy
  14. Romney, Ryan Won't Say Which of the $1 Trillion in Tax Breaks GOP Will End
  15. Romney-Ryan Will Add More Debt Than President Obama

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"It's the Romney-Ryan Plan"

When the Romney campaign alerted users of its mobile VP app on Tuesday to "turn on your push notifications," the GOP vice presidential frenzy went to 11. But while New York Times statistician extraordinaire Nate Silver responded by running simulations to reveal which potential Romney running mate might help him most, conservative Republicans increasingly began pushing one--Wisconsin Rep. Paul Ryan--who might help him least.

But whether or not Mitt Romney ultimately chooses as his #2 the man Charles Pierce calls the "zombie-eyed granny starver" is almost beside the point. That's because on the issues that matter most, Governor Romney and Budget Chairman Ryan are offering virtually the same dangerous prescription for America's future. As Stephen Hayes and Bill Kristol put it in the headline of their Weekly Standard paean to Paul:

“It's the Romney-Ryan Plan; Why Not Romney-Ryan Ticket?”

Hayes and Kristol certainly got the first part right. Both Ryan and Romney would deliver a massive tax cut windfall for the rich, a multi-trillion giveaway offset only in part by gutting the social safety net each pretends to protect. Romney-Ryan ends Medicare as we know it with a "premium support" gambit that would dramatically shift health care costs to America's seniors. Their shared call for repealing the Affordable Care Act could leave up to 48 million more people without health insurance. Even as their draconian austerity budgets would increase unemployment beginning in 2013, both men would nevertheless ratchet up defense spending. And despite their mutual pledges to end many tax loopholes and deductions to fund their gilded-class giveaway, neither Paul Ryan nor Mitt Romney has the courage to say which ones. As a result, these supposed deficit hawks would actually add trillions more in red ink to the national debt.

As Paul Begala summed up the Romney-Ryan program, "This is not like some crackpot theory from some long dead Russian immigrant." No, it is not. And no matter who emerges as the GOP's vice presidential pick, the Republican Party has already bought the Romney-Ryan ticket to the White House.

Here, then, is an overview of the Romney-Ryan plan. (Click a link below to jump to the details for each.)

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