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The hardcore, right wing base of the Republican party, including one of its most prominent spokespersons, has been going berserk over the notion that Senator John McCain might become the GOP candidate for president. They've gone above and beyond trying to paint him as a liberal, which elicits laughter from actual liberals -- but apparently, it's catching on with some teevee bobbleheads.

This morning on The Chris Matthews Show, the panel discussed John McCain and how many Democrats and Independents would vote for him in the general election. Matthews puts up poll numbers showing McCain taking as many as 41% of Independent voters and 16% of Democrats. The same poll also shows him beating Hillary Clinton and losing to Barack Obama, both by slim margins and 7 out of 12 CMS contributors think McCain could hold those numbers all the way through the general election.

I was surprised, Joe Kline actually brings the most reality to this segment, reminding the panel that there are only a handful of Independents who think we should be in Iraq for 100 years and that if McCain thinks he can live off the narrow tactical successes of the surge (U.S. deaths in Iraq climbed in January) in Iraq and avoid talking about the economy throughout the entire campaign, he's in for trouble.

Democrats are consistently topping Republicans in both fundraising and voter turn out, so I find it hard to believe that the race would be anywhere this close. Having said that, it's a long way to November and anything can happen. We've learned not to place too much emphasis on polling data, so here's my question to C&L readers -- is this another case of our media trying to create a horse race where none exists, or does McCain, a war mongering, anti-choice, pandering, flip flopping Republican who has capitulated on torture, immigration and President Bush's tax cuts REALLY have a good shot at beating either Barack Obama or Hillary Clinton in November?



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199 comments

Straw, meet the grasping hand of Bush loyalists.

if hillary gets the nomination, they stand a good chance.

poor poor chris, he so hopes his (heart) mccain will win.

chris is suffering demential just like mccain.

there's no way mccain will win, he will be lucky
if his heart and temper last thru to the election in nov.

we want a change for America, truth not spin.

yes, people were stupid enough to vote for bush again in 2004 ( i am not saying that he won or anything because it was stolen but) he did manage to win some idiots vote who was dumb enough to believe all the fearmongering and saudi terrorism et al.

Chris Matthews is a sexist retard and nobody gives a f*ck what he thinks. [deleted]

The press hates Clinton because the Clintons give the press a hard time. That is their biggest mistake. America will never elect a man with such a lack of experience.

It is an important election not a spokesmodel competition.

Hell... McCain is having a hard time winning over the conservatives (ie: Coulter, Rush, etc.). And I'm sure the "100 years war" in Iraq won't win over many Democrats or independents.

funny,, anyone hear Tony Blankly on Left Right and Center this week? Devastating words about McCain.

IT comes about half way through,, seems he is despised by the Repubs, about as much as Leiberman is by the Dems.

http://www.kcrw.com/news/programs/lr/lr080201primary_roundupsuper

Yes, McCain is a threat. He's been turned into a celebrity, via the media's mythologizing narrative that he's an honest, straight-talking moderate maverick, even though in fact he's a gruesome, war-mongering, corrupt, spiteful, nasty, twisted right-winger. Yes, he's a threat.

Enough people have already bought the media's "maverick" narrative and it's hard to eradicate that kind of conventional wisdom once it's taken root. Especially when Matthews and John King and all the other media sycophants can be seen yukking it up with him on a daily basis.

The same poll also shows him beating Hillary Clinton and losing to Barack Obama, both by slim margins

This is absolutely true. Hilary will lose to McCain. Obama can beat him. With Hillary, always triangulating, voting for obvious bullshit to shore up some mythical right wing of the Democratic party (viz. the war, flag burning, Patriot act, etc.) she would look at McCain and it would be hard to tell the difference, except she has a nicer hair cut.

Obama can win against McCain. Now that Edwards is out of the race (which deeply saddens me) we have to push Obama. He will look to new ideas. He wil provide a contrast to McCain. Hillary will just bring bubba along and it will be the same neoliberal crap he stuffed down our throats then, all over again, only now the govt is flat broke. Hillary will lose. She will bring every redneck shithead out of the woodwork. Obama - not so much.

So Tweety has spoken. Give me break. Everyone knows that the Independants are trending Democratic. The large turnout is attributed to young people. I don't know, maybe Tweety has a crystal ball? Ins't he the same shill who was drooling how macho Bush looked in the famous 'Mission Accomplished' moment?

Has anyone noticed that the Repugs are openly campaigning for Hillary Clinton? Their mouths are watering for Clinton to win the primary, they know this is their best chance to keep the WH. Can we survive more years of this lunacy? I don't think so. Please people, vote for Obama, let's take our country back and feel good about our government again.

Realistically, I think it's possible that St. John could beat Hillary - so many people fear/loathe or completely distrust her (count me in the last column) that a goodly number could probably be persuaded to vote for the "safe & sane" McCain. Yeah, I know he's a turd, but MSM won't hold him accountable (while they're constantly attacking Hillary). Once again, our national govt. may reflect the media spin more than reality. And that's the way it is . . . .

Anecdotal, I know, but most of the independents I know who are for Obama put McCain as their second choice. Anyone got an explanation for that?

I want some of what Chris is smoking. It's way better than anything I have.

If Obama wins you can expect a ton of people to register just to vote for him.

If Hillary wins a shit load of old ladies will vote for her just because they want to see a woman President before they die.

While we're at it why don't we make McCain Pope and King of the Universe?

If Ann Coulter is going to vote for Hillary I suppose I might see my way clear to vote for McCain.
Then I'll start snorting Drain-O and shooting uncut HIV samples into my veins.

As long as we get rid of Bush once and for all I'm open to any and all suggestions.

The portrayal of John McCain as a liberal, or even as a moderate Republican is fiction. The suggestion that he could win against Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama most certainly is not.

McCain's actual record means nothing. He is *perceived* as a moderate by people who don't really follow politics, i.e. Independents. They'll vote for him in large numbers, you can count on it.

Tweakerbell @ 9:

The same poll also shows him beating Hillary Clinton and losing to Barack Obama, both by slim margins

This is absolutely true. Hilary will lose to McCain. Obama can beat him. With Hillary, always triangulating, voting for obvious bullshit to shore up some mythical right wing of the Democratic party (viz. the war, flag burning, Patriot act, etc.) she would look at McCain and it would be hard to tell the difference, except she has a nicer hair cut.

Obama can win against McCain. Now that Edwards is out of the race (which deeply saddens me) we have to push Obama. He will look to new ideas. He wil provide a contrast to McCain. Hillary will just bring bubba along and it will be the same neoliberal crap he stuffed down our throats then, all over again, only now the govt is flat broke. Hillary will lose. She will bring every redneck shithead out of the woodwork. Obama - not so much.

I have to agree. I work with grade school teachers (sadly, they're not well-informed...except about the "big tax rebate," which they're following closely and have already spent in their minds). Most are Democrats, the rest about evenly split between Independents and Repubs. My *limited and very informal polling* tells me: 1)yes, they'd vote for McCain ("'cause he's a war hero!"), though his age scares them a bit; 2) most don't know who Obama is (again, sadly), but those who do would vote for him; 3) NONE that I've spoken to would vote for Clinton, and many would relish the chance to vote against her.

And just for demographics, I work on a staff of 45, 41 of whom are women.

My conclusion, skewed as it certainly may be: Hillary loses big; Obama beats McCain, but just slightly; the economy trumps the war every time.

McCain is toast. The villagers are clueless as usual. Norah O'Donnell should be arrested for stealing her paycheck. And that Dick Morris wannabe from Telemundo can kiss my ass.

Bob in AZ @ 12:

Realistically, I think it's possible that St. John could beat Hillary - so many people fear/loathe or completely distrust her (count me in the last column) that a goodly number could probably be persuaded to vote for the "safe & sane" McCain. Yeah, I know he's a turd, but MSM won't hold him accountable (while they're constantly attacking Hillary). Once again, our national govt. may reflect the media spin more than reality. And that's the way it is . . . .

Sadly, I agree St. John would be formidible and could beat the much demonized Hillary. . St. John may have a suit of armor as far as the MSM is concerned. He'll just trot out 5 years in the Hanoi Hilton should any member of the MSM dare to criticize him. Of course, Kerry had the same hero aura, but he failed to defend it when T Boone Pickens Rovians attacked him.

St. John is terribly vulnerable if anyone dares to point out that he is just another Bushie. A permanent presence in Iraq, permanent trickled on economics, permanent suspension of Amendments 1 and 3-10.

Perhaps Hillary's projected showing is why she's being promoted by coultergeist and the rest of the blond PR team.

CD @ 15:

If Obama wins you can expect a ton of people to register just to vote for him.

If Hillary wins a shit load of old ladies will vote for her just because they want to see a woman President before they die.

I think so, too.

Grampa is not going to win. One thing is for certain: This country is fed up with war-mongers, and Grampa is a war-monger. He made the mistake of cutting a top-10 tune, "Bomb, Bomb, Bomb, Bomb, Bomb Iran", and it will be played over and over and over.

Grampa also represents the white-haired, translucent-skinned, old school of old farts crowd that want to send our kids to occupied countries to protect Big Oil.

Don't think for even a second that the Hillary or Obama ads won't be relentless on these issues.

On many accounts, he is very much a liberal. Look at his immigration and enviromnental stance.

Moondancer, I hope you're right. But given the last two elections I don't know what to think. The confidence I feel for my fellow Americans is low. They care more about American Idol than the future of our country.

I was derided on another post for this opinion, but I'm honestly just giving you a Canadian perspective, so, take it with a grain of salt I guess. Hillary is hated. Period. If she were not a Clinton, she wouldn't be in this race at all. McCain? Old school. He is one of what is wrong with Washington when people spout change. Obama? Young. Unpredictable, so, voters not sure if they want to vote for him. The reality is, people spout change every election, but in reality, they don't want change because they fear it. So they will settle for Hillary or McCain because they are known, and represent old school politics. If people truly wanted change, neither Hillary or McCain would even be in this race right now.

McMain will carry all the Repugs and probably a fair number of independents, so anything can happen. That is why Clinton and Obama need to get their collective shit together and agree to run as a team. That would pull in the entire Democrat base and probably most of the independents.

If they were really smart, Obama would agree to serve as Clintons VP for one term, and then she would serve as his VP. That way they avoid the inevitable downturn that seems to come with second term presidents, they both get to have the hardest and the easiest jobs on earth, and they both make history as the first black and female pres and VP.

Along those same lines, I hope they would both adopt the one thing, the ONLY thing that Bush did right, and that was to empower his VP. Not that he picked the right person or that Cheney did anything but evil for eight years, but it does seem a waste of talent to have a do-nothing VP, especially if they are one heartbeat away.

15% Dems for McCain? What the hell?

Re: Obama vs. Clintons and McCain factor ==> excellent article from Rich today, plse see it in 'robo-calls' thread linked here:

See the post:

As Tweakerbell I believe McInsane can beat Shillary, will have a harder nut in Obama.

However, Obama's strength is depending in GE on VP slot. With Edwards we'd have a WINNING ticket, and the WH. Obama and, say, Sebelius - foggaddaboutit !!

Super Tuesday is in 48 hrs - did YOU make up your mind how to VOTE ??

Tweakerbell @ 9:

The same poll also shows him beating Hillary Clinton and losing to Barack Obama, both by slim margins

This is absolutely true. Hilary will lose to McCain. Obama can beat him. With Hillary, always triangulating, voting for obvious bullshit to shore up some mythical right wing of the Democratic party (viz. the war, flag burning, Patriot act, etc.) she would look at McCain and it would be hard to tell the difference, except she has a nicer hair cut.

Obama can win against McCain. Now that Edwards is out of the race (which deeply saddens me) we have to push Obama. He will look to new ideas. He wil provide a contrast to McCain. Hillary will just bring bubba along and it will be the same neoliberal crap he stuffed down our throats then, all over again, only now the govt is flat broke. Hillary will lose. She will bring every redneck shithead out of the woodwork. Obama - not so much.

AshWilliams, I can't believe that number either. So I guess some Democrats are masochists.

I used to buy the fear McCain line.

No more. Either dem will mop the floor with the Crazy Old Man act he's got going.

Cat Atomic @ 18:

The portrayal of John McCain as a liberal, or even as a moderate Republican is fiction. The suggestion that he could win against Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama most certainly is not.

McCain's actual record means nothing. He is *perceived* as a moderate by people who don't really follow politics, i.e. Independents. They'll vote for him in large numbers, you can count on it.

Independents aren't stupid. They're independent for a reason: usually a set of policies they like or dislike, or a particular philosophy they'd like to see or wish they didn't.

That said, yes, many view McCain as a moderate or maverick or whatever--because they're getting the same media-fueled misinformation that everybody else is. The question is: can Democrats offer up anything that will rebut that? A Clinton nomination vs. an Obama nomination pose very different answers to that question.

I read the right-wing blogs. (Yeah, I'm a masochist) Some of them say they'll never vote for a Mormon, some say they'll never vote for "McLame", some are just fed up with the Republican party and don't plan to vote at all, UNLESS -- And this is the one thing they ALL agree on -- Unless the nominee is Hillary Clinton, in which case they will crawl through broken glass -- they call themselves "broken glass republicans" -- they will crawl through broken glass to vote against her.

So yes, McCain CAN beat Hillary. And that's my greatest fear.

rend @ 7:

funny,, anyone hear Tony Blankly on Left Right and Center this week? Devastating words about McCain.

IT comes about half way through,, seems he is despised by the Repubs, about as much as Leiberman is by the Dems.

http://www.kcrw.com/news/programs/lr/lr080201primary_roundupsuper

McCain needs to be likewise despised by any "Democratic Party voter" thinking of voting for that slimeball. Liberals and Democrats need to despise Mr. McCain just as much they loathe Joe Lieberman!

Spread the news---and make sure you despise John McCain!

Let's see. He wants 100 more years in Iraq as well as additional global conflicts. He doesn't understand how the economy works. He wouldn't even vote for his own immigration bill...

Yeah, actually going by my observation of the average American's intelligence, Grandpa Strangelove does have a fairly good shot of becoming president.

John McCain is a militarist and an anti-Arab racist, just like Joe Lieberman, and many in the media are!

I'm so tired of hearing that McCain is "authentic" and "honorable"... Puh-leeze. Didn't he just get religion a little while back while pandering for votes in the south (changing his life-long affiliation with the Episcopalians to become a Baptist in the process). I thought he didn't paricularly like Alito and now he's taking credit for being part of the team that appointed him to the bench. And on and on... He's got just about as many flip-flops as Mittens does.

Wow, is this the same Chris Matthews who up until last week had Giulianni in the top 5 power brokers for this election?

I so want a job as a TV political pundit! It doesn't matter how shitty their track record is, they always get to have the last word as if somehow you knew what the fuck they were talking about.

Perhaps his being married to a drag queen will hurt him with the fundies.

John McCain is like Bob Dole without the charisma. I predict that if he wins the GOP nomination, he'll run the same sort of lackluster campaign as Dole did.

I talk to lots of people and read lots of blogs. I have yet to talk to any Dem or Indie that wants to vote for McInsane.

McCain is popular among people who don't pay that much attention.

So, yeah - he could win.

Let these twits think just that, and put McCain up as their candidate. Then sit back and enjoy his landslide loss...

tballou @ 26:

If they were really smart, Obama would agree to serve as Clintons VP for one term, and then she would serve as his VP. That way they avoid the inevitable downturn that seems to come with second term presidents, they both get to have the hardest and the easiest jobs on earth, and they both make history as the first black and female pres and VP.

Along those same lines, I hope they would both adopt the one thing, the ONLY thing that Bush did right, and that was to empower his VP. Not that he picked the right person or that Cheney did anything but evil for eight years, but it does seem a waste of talent to have a do-nothing VP, especially if they are one heartbeat away.

Unfortunately Hillary is in this for herself and no one else. She sees the white house as the "diamond ring" that Bill owes her for sticking with him during his presidency. She is not willing to compromise, in fact if she gave two shits about this damn country she would have realized long ago what a divisive figure she is, and she would have sit this one election out. She could have done her damn job as a senator, and realize that this election is too damn important to dick around with it. Alas, there is no snowball chance in hell that she will even consider compromising a single inch for Obama, or any other candidate. This is about her, this is her time to shine. Fuck the rest.

We are truly fucked, when we have basically 2 political families thinking that the white house is somehow entitled to them. From Jr. view that since his daddy was there, he somehow has some kind of monarchic gift to dictate what the rest of the country should follow, and this lady now thinking how she truly deserves to one up her husband.

God have mercy on our poor souls...

John McCain is a kind of a guy who can always give you a strange idea. After you listen to him and his hawkish speeches, you can't help but remind yourself his tune that goes somewhat like "Bomb, bomb, bomb Iran" and in an instant makes you think of a possible scenario like that. Here we go:

Super Bowl is hosted in Phoenix, AZ. John McCain was selling his house 2 years ago in the vicinity of the stadium if I'm not mistaken for around 3 mil. An Islamic website promoting terrorism has been posted by Phoenix hosting service this week and was soon taken down, previously being hosted by Florida service, according to Arizona Republic. There are Arab corporate CEOs and government officials from Dubai in Phoenix this week discussing investment in the city. 4 underwater fiber-optical internet cables have been cut this week, disabling online communication in Dubai, Egypt, Iran with, at some point, 0 online activity, as the media reported. The cause -- ship anchors (even though cuts like that almost never happen and can't happen in 4 different places being cut by an anchor, furthermore, these cables have rock solid cover and are huge.) US military submarines often train a sabotage in a form of disabling communication of a rouge state by cutting submarine cables.

http://www.internettrafficreport.com/asia.htm

Or maybe John McCain's tune and idea of staying 100 years in Iraq and promise of more wars to come should be taken easy without any subthoughts bothering one's minds in the post-911 America. Let's just focus on Super Bowl, happy things, liberal John McCain as our new leader. Ah, the last year in office for Bush might as well be peaceful, with no disruptions and future shaping events, but for some reason that tune just doesn't want to go away.

I heard Santorum is campaigning for Romney. Good old Ricky is leaving voice messages (robo calls) telling voters how bad McCain's temper is. Oh Ricky! I was wondering when you would slink out of the sewers again.

McCain is already starting to spread the bullshit meme that Democrats want to "surrender" in Iraq, an illegal war. His loyalty to Lieberman is also very disturbing, a vote for him is a vote for the second great depression via Iran. May whoever votes for him on super tuesday remember the loved ones they'll have to sacrifice to fight a rich man's war.

I forgot to add, that in the GOP side, McCain also feels he is entitled to the Whitehouse after compromising with Bush and his slime machine in 2000.

7 out of 12 CMS contributors are using 'the math' made famous by Karl Rove in the '06 election!

Didn't McCain run as a Whig in his first election?

If Hillary is the nominee, McCain will take the independents, and the republican base will turn out is amazing force to vote against Hillary.

I can't believe this anyone disputes this. The American public is the same group that RE-elected Bush in 04, they will pick McCain over Hillary in a heartbeat.

Please stop--these ass clowns have not been accurate about any of their predictions. I don't care what they say, the people in this country are bullshit about what has gone on for the last 7 plus years and it is time to head off into a different direction. I hope this happens and the press is left behind.

Can anyone on this site say that they have heard ANYTHING substantive from these "enlightened asses" in DC? I sure as hell have not.

The one person I really trust and respect is Mark Shields on The Newshour. Mark has been around for a long time and is very street wise and he refuses to engage in this over/under nonsense that people like Russert, Matthews, Moron O'Donnel, Ahndrea Mitchell et al spew. These are some of the laziest people in DC. Mitchell is one of the biggest offenders--she retails in gossip as fact. They all admit that they take there info from their "source" Matt Drudge (basement boy). How lazy can they be. Don't even get me started on Joe Klein. He's a predator.

dharmabum @ 39:

John McCain is like Bob Dole without the charisma. I predict that if he wins the GOP nomination, he'll run the same sort of lackluster campaign as Dole did.

Continuing loops of old blood and guts McCain singing "Bomb bomb bomb, bomb bomb Iran." should work.

Yesterday on npr, they replayed the horror show they called the Republican Debate from The House that Reagan Built. I’d had a few, which besides affecting my judgment tends to dampen my gag reflex, so I listened. I now understand why Ann Coulter would rather see Hillary Clinton as preznit than John McCain. It is very simple, Vampires hate Zombies. The ’debate’ was like a wingnut version of Tales from the Crypt. In the most lugubrious and sepulcher monotone (a dead giveaway of the undead), McCain droned on about how he had eaten of the sacred flesh herein entombed and, in gratitude thereof, had strapped on a pair of the sacred Gucci sandals ( actually worn by Mommy it turns out, but whatever) and thereafter humbly shuffled the plodding earth as a lowly foot stool in Raygun Army of the Night. The fact that I was listening on the radio and didn’t have to see the lolling tongue and dripping eyeballs helped me listen for a least 10 minutes but the cold creeping up my backside made me get up and look for a draft and, since I was already up, lock all the doors. Then I turned off the radio ( having lost my taste for Schlitz) and then went into the bedroom to check that my cross, wooden stake, and silver bullets were still safely tucked away, made my obeisance to my framed copy of the Second Amendment, turned on all the lights, got into bed and pulled the covers over my head.

realclear @ 46:

McCain is already starting to spread the bullshit meme that Democrats want to "surrender" in Iraq, an illegal war. His loyalty to Lieberman is also very disturbing, a vote for him is a vote for the second great depression via Iran. May whoever votes for him on super tuesday remember the loved ones they'll have to sacrifice to fight a rich man's war.

McCain and Lieberman are jokes....the two are scared-shotless to go outside the Green Zone to this day, and even with that, need all kinds of military protection....yeah, things are going so great in Iraq that the Bushies and people like McCain and Lieberman have to pay off the Sunnis to have any "peace" there when the military is not dropping bombs that wipe out entire towns and villages. If you call ethnic cleansing and random killing with bombs from above as the "surge is working" and creating more refugees, then I guess its a "success." That scenario will run its course and things will get back to chaotic status.

I call it a loss for America in Iraq indeed. The goals of a democratic Iraq and a better life for Iraqis with free market capitalism has largely failed and for most Iraqis even 2-3 hours of electricity working is a luxury. For most Iraqis, as bad as Saddam Hussein was for being a tyrant, there had been law and order and basic services working there. For the most part, Iraqi life and things such as social services and basic things like water and electricity functions are worse now than had been during the sanctions regime of the 1990s. The promises made to the Iraqi people by the United States and the Bush administration and their sycophants like John McCain and Joe Lieberman have all but failed.

In sum, by all objective accounts which does not mean the United States politicial establishment or its lapdogs in the American media/press, yes, the American goals in Iraq have all failed miserably and have done so long ago. In short, America had lost Iraq by 2004 and counting.

I don't think the polls will be on point unless they capture turnout. I think Democrats will turn out in droves while the Republican will not.

I think any dem will beat any repub this time around. But then I couldn't see how bush could possibly win in 04!

Corinne @ 11:

Has anyone noticed that the Repugs are openly campaigning for Hillary Clinton? Their mouths are watering for Clinton to win the primary, they know this is their best chance to keep the WH. Can we survive more years of this lunacy? I don't think so. Please people, vote for Obama, let's take our country back and feel good about our government again.

I don't know what source you have, but I think you have the facts EXACTLY wrong. Obama is being forced down our thoughts as if he is the second coming of Christ (or JFK, who to many may seem like Christ) Why do you think the conservative media is touting Obama? Chris Matthews who has McCain "in his heart" - he's been running Obama commercials several times on his show for free. His whole show is one unpaid ad for Obama. Obama will be torn apart by the Republicans. The Clinton's have been handling him with kid gloves - the republicans will not be so kind. I'm old enough to remember election night with McGovern,Carter, Dukakis and Kerry as our candidate, please let me have another election night like 1992 and 1996. Hmmm, I think the name was Clinton

Absolutely McCain has a shot at beating Hillary, despite his bellicosity. He garners higher points with independents and undecideds than Hillary. He is no where as polarizing as Hillary. And quite frankly the country is, and should be sick of the Clintons and the Bushes. Significant numbers of both Democrats and Republicans just don't like Hillary, for whatever reason. It makes no difference whether it's rational dislike or not, it's a fact. Even higher numbers of independents and Republicans will absolutely refuse to vote for her merely on the fact they don't like her, don't trust her, or don't like or trust Bill. This animosity plummets when these same people are asked about Obama.

Hillary vs. McCain means McCain wins by a margin.
Obama vs. McCain means Obama wins by a landslide.

Democrats can and very well may screw this up by assuming Hillary is the safer bet. The problem is, per usual, Democrats do not think strategically. They think just because they like someone, that anyone should like them for the same reasons, and just think the "other side" is crazy and dismiss them as irrelevant. They're voters too! Get over it! Time to leave the Clintons behind. It's old.

Peter E. @ 49:

Didn't McCain run as a Whig in his first election?

megalulz

John McCain and “The Straight-Talk Express”

A Keating Primer

Anyone vaguely familiar with the political career of John McCain knows about the “Keating Five” scandal. For those not clear on the specifics, we’ll do a quick review:

· In the midst of the savings and loan implosion of the 80s, federal auditors begin investigating the practices of S&L magnate Charles Keating.
· McCain, along with four other Senators, meets with Keating to discuss ways to derail the investigation.
· McCain and his colleagues meet with Ed Gray, the chairman of the regulatory board, and persuade him to delay seizing the S&L.
· Two years later, regulators finally have to seize the S&L for a federal bailout, costing taxpayers $2.6 billion. In the meantime, 17,000 investors in Keating’s S&L lose $190 million.

For someone with a stainless “reform” halo, McCain looks pretty dirty here. So, what does the “straight-talker” do? Take responsibility? Apologize?
McCain defended his attendance at the meetings by saying Keating was a constituent and that Keating’s development company, American Continental Corporation, was a major Arizona employer. McCain said he wanted to know only whether Keating was being treated fairly and that he had not tried to influence the regulators…

Oh, well we have no problem, then. After all, McCain’s job is to look out for his constituents, right?
But Keating was more than a constituent to McCain–he was a longtime friend and associate…Keating raised money for McCain’s two congressional campaigns in 1982 and 1984, and for McCain’s 1986 Senate bid. By 1987, McCain campaigns had received $112,000 from Keating, his relatives, and his employees–the most received by any of the Keating Five…

Okay, so that’s pretty fishy. Still, I guess you could say that just because someone gives you money doesn’t make you best buds…
After McCain’s election to the House in 1982, he and his family made at least nine trips at Keating’s expense, three of which were to Keating’s Bahamas retreat. McCain did not disclose the trips (as he was required to under House rules) until the scandal broke in 1989…And in April 1986, one year before the meeting with the regulators, McCain’s wife, Cindy, and her father invested $359,100 in a Keating strip mall.

http://www.stopjohnmccain2008.com/category/keating/

The Keating Five scandal from 1989 implicated five senators in another corruption probe. Democrats Dennis DeConcini of Arizona, Donald Riegle of Michigan, John Glenn of Ohio and Alan Cranston of California, and Republican John McCain of Arizona, were accused of strong-arming federal officials to back off their investigation of Charles Keating, former chairman of the Lincoln Savings and Loan association. In exchange, the senators reportedly received close to $1.3 million in campaign contributions.

The Senate Ethics Committee concluded that Glenn and McCain's involvement in the scheme was minimal and dropped the charges against them. In August 1991, the committee ruled that the other three senators had acted improperly in interfering with the Federal Home Loan Banking Board's investigation.

DeConcini and Riegle did not run for re-election in 1994 and were succeeded by Republican Sens. John Kyl and Spencer Abraham.

http://www.pbs.org/newshour/indepth_coverage/law/corruption/history.html

McCains a dead horse, he'd be whipped by Hillary clinton in the pres race, the only guy who could beat a dem is ron paul, because he's more anti war than them.

heliograph @ 8:

Yes, McCain is a threat. He's been turned into a celebrity, via the media's mythologizing narrative that he's an honest, straight-talking moderate maverick, even though in fact he's a gruesome, war-mongering, corrupt, spiteful, nasty, twisted right-winger. Yes, he's a threat.

Enough people have already bought the media's "maverick" narrative and it's hard to eradicate that kind of conventional wisdom once it's taken root. Especially when Matthews and John King and all the other media sycophants can be seen yukking it up with him on a daily basis.

I've postulated in several threads that the media will rehabilitate McCain's maverick, independent image, while simultaneously hyping and pushing the divisions between the Clinton and Obama camps.

What better way to do that than to have Chris Matthews get yet another man-crush on McCain, and have Ann Coulter endorse Clinton?

I'm still worried about the way this is all playing out.

McCain has about as much chance to win the Presidency as I do.

With the twin evils of the electoral college system and the main stream noise machine, McCain could well beat either Democrat.
The media elite are always willing to ignore the racist and sexist attacks as long as they come from the Right wing wackos. A clinton vannot even mention the name of Martin Luther King without being labelled as racist. But McCain will be able to deploy surrogates from Tweety to Goldberg to call Obama lazy, shiftless, smelly and terrorist.
Clinton would be painted with the brush of lesbianism, abortion, hormonal excess and robotic coldness without the press complaining.
Either candidate will lose most of the south, if not all, and the electoral votes, not the general election totals, are what we should be looking at.
The only way the Democrats win in November is if the Republican candidate is caught in a bigger scandal than America has yet seen.

Ann Coulter is not going to support Clinton and she'll climb aboard McCain's bandwagon after the primaries along with all the other Republicans on the internet and talk radio that are now dissing him. Might as well not even talk about apparent divisions in the Republican party, they'll all fall in line soon enough. McCain has already said he'll appoint a right wing nut job to the Supreme Court, that's all they really care about. There are also enough low information "Independents" and blue dog Democrats who buy into his fake PR constructed image as a "maverick moderate" to enable him to beat Clinton. Hillary can't get more than 48% of the vote in a general election. Say hello to the next far right wing Presidency and Supreme Court Justice. It's all over now.

No, McCain is toast. The only way he can win is if we start believing this crap and focus on the horserace rather than bringing out voters to vote Democrat. We're looking at in some cases 2-1 margins of the numbers of Democratic votes to Republican voters in primaries. When even Joe Klein knows it's crap, it's super-duper crapola.

Nancy @ 57:

Corinne @ 11:

please let me have another election night like 1992 and 1996. Hmmm, I think the name was Clinton

Ya it was Bill, not Hillary. You can't go forward if you are looking behind.

I am an Independent who had to re-register to vote for Obama in the primaries.

For any of the 15 million people who marched against the start of the war in Iraq, there is no other choice.

Obama was with us then, and I think is the best chance now for ending the war.

Hillarys tears in NH were simply about her realisation that she had not been ordained as the next Democratic leader.
Its all about Hillary, and I am sick of her stance that change can only come from inside the government.
Bush shows us only bad change can come from inside the walls of power.

Obama thinks change comes from the people. Good change can only come from the people, imho.

http://dipdive.com/

Heal this nation, repair this world. right on Obama.

don't worry about the msm sucking up to mccain. they did the same thing to guiliani and look where he is. once olbermann, stewart, colbert and the internet do their thing like they did to rudy, mccain will end up in the same shitpile. the msm is irrelevant.

I think that mccain vrs hilary would be a vicious face ripping brawl. Both would get nasty and it would not be fun to watch. hilary depends on passive aggressive political tricks and plays every little game she can. The far right will swallow their hatred of mccain and blast hilary day and night. She will fight back in every way she can and her chances of winning are about even.

I think obama has the ablity to stay above the fray, remain dignified and beat the hell out of Mccain. Obama has terrific charisma and could garner a lot of the mainstream independants and republicans in a way that hilary cannot. The far right may spend more energy trashing mccain than demonizing obama.

folks, please don't forget that the election of a democratic president isn't sufficient. he/she need to be *inaugurated*. Shrubya might still wait for the next act of terror on US soil and then call the "state of emergency" trump card. fascist rule forever.

Whoever spent 5 years in prison (whatever prison) has a twisted psyche for life. Any psychiatrist will tell you, that a person like that should not be the leader of the US. The problem is, the media will never invite a psychiatrists to tell them how freakin' clueless these people are and what a dangerous prospect they keep promoting. They see how sick this is and they should speak out. Come on guys, people like that have the dreams of Nam no matter how many pills they get. The nuclear suitcase should be as far away from the bad as possible -- at least there should be a provision in the manual for guys like that (meaning aged and former prisoners): "the codes may not be given to execute the order unless the mental test is taken and righteousness of the response is granted."

"does McCain, ... REALLY have a good shot at beating either Barack Obama or Hillary Clinton in November?"

Yep, white male, closest thing to Eisenhower that the Repugs have produced in quite a while, I think so. It all depends on how the debate is framed. In 2004, in October before the election, there was more discussion on Kerry and Vietnam than there was on Iraq.

I think that the Dems need to hammer on fiscal responsibility with things like, if McCain wants to stay in Iraq for 100 years, how does he propose to pay for it. If we go with Billary, then we waive the issue of being stupid enough to go into Iraq instead of finishing what we started in Afghanistan, where the people who attacked us were holed up. And I think Americans want a solution to the health care crises instead of another 4 years of sticking one's head in the sand. I think absent a single payer solution, it isn't going to happen, but, we're only talking about winning the election.

And if McCain picks someone like Huckabee to be the VP (in order to motivate the GOP base), independents aren't going to like Huckabee being a 71 year old heartbeat away from the Presidency.

To the Obamistas on this list--you know, when you go on about how McCain would take independents against Clinton, and how Obama supporters wouldn't vote for Clinton, you further a right-wing meme. I was for Edwards. Now I'm agnostic--either is good enough. I'll probably vote for Obama. On some issues one is better than others. You know the score. So I'm getting sick of those so in love with the transcendence of Obama that they are willing to further the meme that if not Obama then McCain will or maybe even should win.

Not bloody likely!

Versus Hillary yes.
Against Obama NO.

redcat @ 69:

don't worry about the msm sucking up to mccain. they did the same thing to guiliani and look where he is. once olbermann, stewart, colbert and the internet do their thing like they did to rudy, mccain will end up in the same shitpile. the msm is irrelevant.

I hope you're right, but Giuliani ran quite possibly the most ridiculous campaign in the history of modern presidential politics. His absurdities were so grandiose, I'm not sure he really wanted to be president -- like Steven Colbert, he just wanted to run for president. To the extent that his campaign was genuine, even the media's love for him couldn't save him. The media is highly influential, but not omnipotent.

...or does McCain, a war mongering, anti-choice, pandering, flip flopping Republican who has capitulated on torture, immigration and President Bush’s tax cuts REALLY have a good shot at beating either Barack Obama or Hillary Clinton in November?

I want to believe there's no fucking way. I'll only go down fighting.

ConcernedCanuck @ 67:

Nancy @ 57:

Corinne @ 11:

please let me have another election night like 1992 and 1996. Hmmm, I think the name was Clinton

Ya it was Bill, not Hillary. You can't go forward if you are looking behind.

Then why is Obama evoking JFK and MLK every chance he gets?

Nancy @ 57:

Corinne @ 11:

Has anyone noticed that the Repugs are openly campaigning for Hillary Clinton? Their mouths are watering for Clinton to win the primary, they know this is their best chance to keep the WH. Can we survive more years of this lunacy? I don't think so. Please people, vote for Obama, let's take our country back and feel good about our government again.

I don't know what source you have, but I think you have the facts EXACTLY wrong. Obama is being forced down our thoughts as if he is the second coming of Christ (or JFK, who to many may seem like Christ) Why do you think the conservative media is touting Obama? Chris Matthews who has McCain "in his heart" - he's been running Obama commercials several times on his show for free. His whole show is one unpaid ad for Obama. Obama will be torn apart by the Republicans. The Clinton's have been handling him with kid gloves - the republicans will not be so kind. I'm old enough to remember election night with McGovern,Carter, Dukakis and Kerry as our candidate, please let me have another election night like 1992 and 1996. Hmmm, I think the name was Clinton

Are you serious? The GOP and it's slime machine are chomping at the bit to go against Clinton! Of course they aren't going to lay down for Obama, but he's got a lot less dirt on him than the Clintons. Those who don't like McCain, will vote for him just to vote against her, including some democrats!

Karen @ 77:

redcat @ 69:

don't worry about the msm sucking up to mccain. they did the same thing to guiliani and look where he is. once olbermann, stewart, colbert and the internet do their thing like they did to rudy, mccain will end up in the same shitpile. the msm is irrelevant.

I hope you're right, but Giuliani ran quite possibly the most ridiculous campaign in the history of modern presidential politics. His absurdities were so grandiose, I'm not sure he really wanted to be president -- like Steven Colbert, he just wanted to run for president. To the extent that his campaign was genuine, even the media's love for him couldn't save him. The media is highly influential, but not omnipotent.

The difference between these two is simple:
The longer a person was exposed to Mr 911, the less they liked him. In person he is as vile as his politics.
McCain, however, has the powerful personal charm of the insane. His politics stink as badly as any Republican, but he smiles through the supposed straight talk. How straight? Ask him how he'll pay for anything he proposes.

If I was one of tens of millions of Iranians who heard McCain sing "Bomb, bomb Iran" I would be real scared. Imagine being not an American or imagine America being like Iran in the desert, and the leader of the world's only empire sings to you a poem "Bomb, bomb, America." You'd look at your family and you'd be scared, would you. You'd also think what kind of man would publicly sing something like that, wouldn't you. Imagine the confusion in those people heads right now. Imagine the confusion when McCain gets elected in everyone's mind... EVERYONE'S!!

I am suprised Logan Murphy isn't factoring in the "Brer Rabbit" trap that the Republicans are setting up for the Clintons. I don't know how many people watch Real Time, but Beltzer mentioned the dosier on Bill Clinton that Murdoch is going to use in August. Factor in that Murdoch has been contributing to her run for President and it doesn't seem that conspirital.

By the way, if she wins my wife and I sit home. I don't hate Hillary, but for a country of 300 million one might think that there are more able human beings to be in charge. Knock me if you want, but try to consider the absurdity to our democracy if she beats Obama.

For those interested in Beltzer's comment, it is at minute 7:00 of the 10:00 minute link.

"Yes we can!"

McCain has spent the last 4 years running away from his record and desperately pandering to the right wing of his party. It almost undid him, but it looks like at last it has started to pay off. He's going to get the nomination, and that relieves him of having to lean so far to the right. Going into the general, expect for him to reclaim the center, especially if he's running against Hillary Clinton.

If Hillary is the candidate, McCain doesn't need to worry about the Republican base any more -- they will turn out just to vote against a Clinton. He wouldn't need to be quite such a hawk, either, since Hillary is not in a good position to challenge him on the war. (She would be in the same predicament Kerry was in 2004 -- she voted for it before she voted against it.) In sum, he would be freed up to run a campaign for independents and moderates, among whom he has always been popular. If it's McCain versus Hillary, it's time for the Democratic party to start thinking about who we want to run in 2012.

I remember when John Kerry got the nod -- I thought, how can we be so stupid? Are we going to be that stupid again?

Nancy @ 79:

ConcernedCanuck @ 67:

Nancy @ 57:

Corinne @ 11:

Ya it was Bill, not Hillary. You can't go forward if you are looking behind.

Then why is Obama evoking JFK and MLK every chance he gets?

What does that have to do with voting for Hillary, and looking back thinking you are getting Bill? Obama isn't related to JFK or MLK, and isn't married to either one. You would be voting for Obama, not Barack Kennedy.

Shannon @ 81:

Karen @ 77:

redcat @ 69:

don't worry about the msm sucking up to mccain. they did the same thing to guiliani and look where he is. once olbermann, stewart, colbert and the internet do their thing like they did to rudy, mccain will end up in the same shitpile. the msm is irrelevant.

I hope you're right, but Giuliani ran quite possibly the most ridiculous campaign in the history of modern presidential politics. His absurdities were so grandiose, I'm not sure he really wanted to be president -- like Steven Colbert, he just wanted to run for president. To the extent that his campaign was genuine, even the media's love for him couldn't save him. The media is highly influential, but not omnipotent.

The difference between these two is simple:
The longer a person was exposed to Mr 911, the less they liked him. In person he is as vile as his politics.
McCain, however, has the powerful personal charm of the insane. His politics stink as badly as any Republican, but he smiles through the supposed straight talk.

Yep.

How straight? Ask him how he'll pay for anything he proposes.

Heh, only Democrats get asked how they'll pay for their proposals.

You can see that in the debates. Democrats propose health care plans, and questions are posed as though the "tax-and-spend liberal" labels are not only inevitable, but legitimate. They're asked to explain how they're going to be fiscally responsible, and where the money is going to come from. When the "moderators" don't get the answer they want -- that taxes will be raised on everybody like crazy -- they just supply it themselves as a "follow up."

When Republicans propose to keep us in Iraq forever, and to lower taxes at the same time, there are no suggestions about fiscal responsibility or how they're going to pay for the tax cuts. No moderator is going to ask which social programs will be cut at the same time, and no moderator will ever supply the answers for them to imply that people's lives will get worse.

Tweakerbell @ 9:

The same poll also shows him beating Hillary Clinton and losing to Barack Obama, both by slim margins

This is absolutely true. Hilary will lose to McCain. Obama can beat him. With Hillary, always triangulating, voting for obvious bullshit to shore up some mythical right wing of the Democratic party (viz. the war, flag burning, Patriot act, etc.) she would look at McCain and it would be hard to tell the difference, except she has a nicer hair cut.

Obama can win against McCain. Now that Edwards is out of the race (which deeply saddens me) we have to push Obama. He will look to new ideas. He wil provide a contrast to McCain. Hillary will just bring bubba along and it will be the same neoliberal crap he stuffed down our throats then, all over again, only now the govt is flat broke. Hillary will lose. She will bring every redneck shithead out of the woodwork. Obama - not so much.

I believe that you are right. Obama brings in young voters and Indpendents. Hillary does not. Obama will take these votes from McCain. Hillary will not energize young voters to show up and will lose Indys to McCain. The election will tilt to McCain and we will have another four years of War and deficts. Will we have a country left? Maybe not. If by some miracle, Hillary did win, we will have four years of gridlock that will just be a continuation of the right fighting and demonizing everything Hillary attempts. It may not be fair, but it is what it is. Democrats better wake up. I wonder if they remember how quickly they turned on Howard Dean to embrace John Kerry because he was establishment. Look where it got us. We better change our stripes and go for change, new leadership and a new direction is we want to save this country. Obama is a movement that rarely comes around. We won't have another chance like this for a long long time.

I got 3 words for CM: No he won't.

Barack Obama's wife is speaking at a rally on C-Span right now. Why does Barack Obama's wife always sound so angry?

Oprah Winfrey supported the war on Iraq....

Obama is a tad bit arrogant himself.

BlueIndependent @ 88:

I got 3 words for CM: No he won't.

Yeah, not on my planet!

...so here’s my question to C&L readers — is this another case of our media trying to create a horse race where none exists, or does McCain, a war mongering, anti-choice, pandering, flip flopping Republican who has capitulated on torture, immigration and President Bush’s tax cuts REALLY have a good shot at beating either Barack Obama or Hillary Clinton in November?

My answer to that is that Chris Matthews isn't exactly the media (gadfly might be a better word), and his panel isn't much representative of it either. No matter, because in an actual general election, there will be enough long knives out for McCain - from both sides of the political spectrum - that he will have a tough time winning those independents. How about brief ads with him singing "bomb, bomb Iran," or doing his Dan Quayle impression when someone asks him about the economy? Once the political free-fire starts, it won't matter what the press thinks. Anyone who believes McCain will have a free ride (even against everybody-hates-Hillary Clinton) hasn't ever seen a general election, and has no idea of the actual parameters of this one.

senlac1066:
most of the independents I know who are for Obama put McCain as their second choice. Anyone got an explanation for that?

Could be they're clueless. Do they get their "news" from CNN,etc?

Maria Shriver just took the stage at the Barack Obama rally at UCLA.

I'm trying to imagine the bedroom scene back at the governator's mansion this evening, here's one possibility:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JqyPMmqgqz0

karen and shannon: don't underestimate the power of colbert and stewart. after the mid term elections in 06 howard dean was on stewart's show and thanked him for all of his help, and he was dead serious. it's game time, have a nice day.

Joe! Says:

On many accounts, he is very much a liberal. Look at his immigration and enviromnental stance.

Are you talking about John McCain as a Liberal?
BWAHAHAHAHAHAHA!! Stop it!
John McCain's about as Liberal as Joe Lieberman.
Actually just to test your political persuasion
how Liberal do you think Joe Lieberman is? Hmmm?

Mike Mid City @ 52:

dharmabum @ 39:

John McCain is like Bob Dole without the charisma. I predict that if he wins the GOP nomination, he'll run the same sort of lackluster campaign as Dole did.

Continuing loops of old blood and guts McCain singing "Bomb bomb bomb, bomb bomb Iran." should work.

I'm thinking of an ad. "continuous loop of him saying "I'm a drunken sailor" over and over, Then an announcer in a LOUD voice: "You damn kids get off my lawn". What do y'all think of that one?

I have to agree with those who think Hillary would lose. I do not comprehend why, why, why, independents favor McCain. Is it his far-right war stance, or his far-right social agenda for judges? But somehow, he's still a moderate. WTF? Remember Bush vs Kerry? When Kerry was nominated, Bush led the polls around 51%-48% AND THAT NEVER MEANINGFULLY CHANGED. No matter how well Kerry did in the debates, no matter how many gaffes Bush had, no matter how much Bush pandered to the right, no matter how many Busg policies resulted in disaster; nothing, nothing, nothing changed people's mind once they decided what they wanted to project onto him as their image. I think McCain would win, and then Amercia would sit around with the gall to wonder why there was another far-right winger in the White House.

AshWilliams Says:
15% Dems for McCain? What the hell?

It's the, get their "news" from corporate cable and NPR only Dems.

redcat @ 94:

karen and shannon: don't underestimate the power of colbert and stewart. after the mid term elections in 06 howard dean was on stewart's show and thanked him for all of his help, and he was dead serious. it's game time, have a nice day.

The only problem with this is, Stewart had Peggy Noonan on his show the other night, and started lauding McCain. The media mythologizing has already done its work, McCain is a genial, straight-talking maverick. It's going to be very, very difficult to eradicate that narrative.

Tweakerbell @ 9:

The same poll also shows him beating Hillary Clinton and losing to Barack Obama, both by slim margins

This is absolutely true. Hilary will lose to McCain. Obama can beat him. With Hillary, always triangulating, voting for obvious bullshit to shore up some mythical right wing of the Democratic party (viz. the war, flag burning, Patriot act, etc.) she would look at McCain and it would be hard to tell the difference, except she has a nicer hair cut.

Obama can win against McCain. Now that Edwards is out of the race (which deeply saddens me) we have to push Obama. He will look to new ideas. He wil provide a contrast to McCain. Hillary will just bring bubba along and it will be the same neoliberal crap he stuffed down our throats then, all over again, only now the govt is flat broke. Hillary will lose. She will bring every redneck shithead out of the woodwork. Obama - not so much.

At this moment in time, Obama will defeat Hillary open handed... which won't hurt my feelings one bit because it was the Clinton's that has forced school uniforms on our kids in the same manner that Hitler did in Germany. Obama clearly brings a new face, new thoughts, and a new agenda to the table. And that is something America desperatly needs after the Bush dynasty! McCain offers NOTHING different and MORE of the same, which in my opinion would bring this country to it's knees! What I really expect to happen is Obama wins by a fair margin, and then seals the deal with John Edwards to be VP.

McCain has a good shot if Hillary is nominated. I think the Dems will win if they pick Obama.

What makes you think independents will go to Mcbain? That is what the MSM is telling us, and They haven't been close on anything they have spred. As long as dems keep the fire going, and keep their eye on he prize, Mcbain is toast.

diamondmc @ 102:

What makes you think independents will go to Mcbain? That is what the MSM is telling us, and They haven't been close on anything they have spred. As long as dems keep the fire going, and keep their eye on he prize, Mcbain is toast.

As an Independent, I won't go McCain...I just won't go.

Gorgei @ 103:

diamondmc @ 102:

What makes you think independents will go to Mcbain? That is what the MSM is telling us, and They haven't been close on anything they have spred. As long as dems keep the fire going, and keep their eye on he prize, Mcbain is toast.

As an Independent, I won't go McCain...I just won't go.

That is if Hillary wins...sorry.

No, it's not the media. I write a daily column for a website with a large number of liberal readers. There is a now a large debate going on because several members have said they will vote for McCain over Hillary. They prefer Obama. This is real.

I will not vote for Hillary, but I won't vote for McCain, either. Many people realize lobbyists and campaign finance rules are a major problem now. McCain has a history of fighting to improve this system. That's going to win him a lot of independents over Hillary.

In my country, if any t.v. chatter-class host like Mathews ever pointed his finger at a guest, he'd be told where to shove it.

Sen. Clinton can haul McCain's ass to the cleaners and pick up a Happy Meal on the way home in a straight up debate. Consider how he was reduced to defending horsecrap by a Mittwit last week.

As for Obama vs McCain... Dole vs Clinton '96, the sequel. Youth and vision vs stay the course.

Game Over for the GOP either way.

Dean @ 95:

Joe! Says:

On many accounts, he is very much a liberal. Look at his immigration and enviromnental stance.

Are you talking about John McCain as a Liberal?
BWAHAHAHAHAHAHA!! Stop it!
John McCain's about as Liberal as Joe Lieberman.
Actually just to test your political persuasion
how Liberal do you think Joe Lieberman is? Hmmm?

Just liberal enough to keep getting elected in a very liberal state -- although i think those days are over.

McCain, in his own words, is "very, very conservative." His "liberal" immigration stance is the same as that of notorious left-winger GW Bush. It's all about cheap labor for big biz.

I don't want Hillary, but I want McCain even less. One measly little independent vote here. Two actually, my husband as well. I agree with the comment up (107): a match between Obama and McCain would be Dole v. Clinton '96.

Of course, the Republicans could win, read the title of this blog! I agree with Hariett @48, we need to gear up to head off the way Rove and the other Crooks manipulate the votes, with their funny math i.e. steal votes, interfere with GOTV, caging votes, misappropriate the correct number of voting machines, etc. etc.

Then there is Gorgei @83, who is going to sit at home with his wife and let McCain have it with his blessing if Obama is not the nominee. The Obama people have been chastising the Edwards people for not donating our votes to Obama, but he is not willing to back the other candidate if his guy doesn't get picked. Now, isn't that special? I want to know where I go to sign over my votes to his candidate.

Another thing, watch C-Span on cable in the mornings for their call-in show. It amazing how much in-breeding must have been going on throughout the US. I know that is really unattractive to be so mean, but they make me so angry with their complete repudiation of facts. All they associate themselves with is the name 'Republican', and even though they no longer make enough income to have to pay any taxes, they are sure the Liberals are trying to take their money away via higher taxes. Nothing else seems to penetrate their brains.

Oh, yes, we could still lose, so get off your behinds and vote Democratic all the way!

On the issue of McCain being a liberal: his lifetime ACU (conservative) rating is 83%. His last ADA rating was 15%.

Now, as to whether McCain can win, of course he can. We are about to see the press anoint him as the perfect president, completely ignoring his manifest defects, while they mindlessly repeat whatever smears and lies the right wing produces about the Democratic nominee. It happened to Gore, it happened to Kerry, and it well may happen again. Yes, the electorate is very unhappy now, so we may still be able to persevere, but don't count on it.

McCain has already been chosen to be the next president. He will guarantee endless war. If you don't believe me wait 350 days. You all think you live in a democracy? Don't make me laugh. "They" will never allow a woman or black to be president. You are all so naive.

sell that "bomb bomb iran" tweety, sell it. these tv talking points shows are actually getting better and better... since I don't have SNL to watch saturday nights, I go to bed early and wake up to watch these hilarious chit-chat shows these days. no matter how serious they look/talk I just can't help myself from laughing out hard. we all know we can't take these guys seriously...after this show I continued to watch Meet The Press, it was just awesomely FUNNY!

I hate to say it. I am about as progressive left of center as they come. Don't agree with 3/4 of McCain policies. But the fact of Bush-Clinton-Bush-Clinton for the last 4 presidents makes me hurl. I will vote Obama First, McCain Second. I voted for Bill 2x and I am glad. Don't see me doing it a 3rd and 4th time. I wants some new blood.

Txindy @ 110:

Of course, the Republicans could win, read the title of this blog! I agree with Hariett @48, we need to gear up to head off the way Rove and the other Crooks manipulate the votes, with their funny math i.e. steal votes, interfere with GOTV, caging votes, misappropriate the correct number of voting machines, etc. etc.

Then there is Gorgei @83, who is going to sit at home with his wife and let McCain have it with his blessing if Obama is not the nominee. The Obama people have been chastising the Edwards people for not donating our votes to Obama, but he is not willing to back the other candidate if his guy doesn't get picked. Now, isn't that special? I want to know where I go to sign over my votes to his candidate.

Another thing, watch C-Span on cable in the mornings for their call-in show. It amazing how much in-breeding must have been going on throughout the US. I know that is really unattractive to be so mean, but they make me so angry with their complete repudiation of facts. All they associate themselves with is the name 'Republican', and even though they no longer make enough income to have to pay any taxes, they are sure the Liberals are trying to take their money away via higher taxes. Nothing else seems to penetrate their brains.

Oh, yes, we could still lose, so get off your behinds and vote Democratic all the way!

Just to be sure, we were coming around to the idea of voting for her following the NH primary, but we didn't like their "realpolitiking" of Obama. I guess we live by different principles Txindy.

Furthermore, we still live in somewhat of a free society, last time I looked voting was a right that people can either take advantage of or not. As an American citizen and disabled vet, I find it repulsive that people would be marginalized over not wanting to vote for two people they never vote for anyway.

McCain might have had a slim chance with a few Independents and Democrats at one instant in time, but once he was seen in that photo locked in an embrace with the Chimperor, the straight talk express was seen to have veered off the tracks . He sold his soul and everyone knows it. Well, almost everyone...Chris Matthews is delusional as usual.

Two stolen presidential elections in a row. Why not go for a third?

Well, would you look at that, the first time Chris Matthews has ever been RIGHT about anything.

McCain's only hope is for the shamelessly partisan MSM to continue to blow his horn and lie about his record and about Iraq.

I noticed that American deaths spiked again in January. I suppose I am wasting my time if I wait with bated breath for Katie Couric to say that the "Surge" has failed?

McCain is too old. As the campaign wears on, this will become more and more evident. The economy is beginning to really scare people, and he has candidly said that he doesn't know much about such matters. He supports an uncommonly unpopular war and president. Yep, sounds like a winner to me.

I'm a Republican and I really don't think we can win against Hillary or Obama. Oh well.

McCain has already been chosen to be the next president. He will guarantee endless war. If you don't believe me wait 350 days. You all think you live in a democracy? Don't make me laugh. "They" will never allow a woman or black to be president. You are all so naive

“They” will never allow a woman or black to be president. You are all so naive

Who are 'they."

McCain/Lieberman 08!!!!! Some of you need to get a grip on reality. To say that McCain is not a moderate is asinine. Um, lets take a look at who really despises McCain(besides you far left socialist), its the far right morons led by Coulter, Hannity, and that drug addict idiot on talk radio. Finally, you each have something in common. SOOOOO.....lets put this in a mathematical equation for those of you who don't seem to get it. a + b = c where a = hated by far left, b = hated by far right, and C = Moderate (centrist). McCain is the man for the rest of us. Those of us who are in the middle and don't buy into the party hype. An even better ticket would be McCain/Warner. Warner is a so called Democrat who was recently the Governor of Virginia. Remember his name.... he will be your president one day because he is the finest Centrist in politics and has actual experience balancing a budget while improving an economy all while working with a Republican controlled state house and state senate. Until that day comes......McCain all the way.

Teresa @ 120:

I'm a Republican and I really don't think we can win against Hillary or Obama. Oh well.

nah !youall got diebold buck up gal its in the bag!

John McCain has tried to hide that he is a "closet Neocon". McCain was prez of the New Citizenship Project which initiated the PNAC (Project for a New American Century). If folks would wake up to his longtime connections to the most extreme of the neocons they will forget the spin that is being done to label him a moderate. They say repubs don't like him to appeal to dems and indies, and of course the repubs have no-one else so he gets all their votes too.

We are f&^%cked

...100 years, eh? hmmmmm...well, there is absolutely nothing about these candidates that makes me want to get off the mat, dust off the heavy cloak of cynicism and fight to regain what we lost for our children....but that obama guy...yeah, THAT'S a start. otherwise, break out the yellow pages and look up those recruiters...no, not college recruiters, MILITARY recruiters, because a gung-ho john mccain will settle for nothing less than TOTAL victory.scary as hell! nevermind that prospective recruits can not serve their country for their own reasons, they have to give mccain his endless supply of bodies for the cause.

Now that I stopped laughing, I can write this. McCain doesn't stand a snowballs chance in hell in November, least among Democrats. All the anarchist Democrats are supporting Ron Paul. These are the same Democrats that USED to like Mc Cain and now see him as "more wars and less jobs". These TV bobbleheads need to step out into the light and speak with real people. Maybe then they could get their facts straight.

Sidebar---McCains moderate votes etc are all part of Rovian Spin and political machinations that has been in the works for years. The repubs love McCain. He's a war monger extraordinaire.

The Republicans are going to need to show up at the polls in order for McCain to win. Ha!

The repugnacans could run baby jesus and I still wouldn't vote repugnacan.

hey!!!!were not talking about an honest election here!

24-28 years of the same 2 families in the White House. Really sad. OBAMA for fresh blood if nothing else.

The one democrat who beat McCain by a substancial margin in earlier national polls was...John Edwards. Watch while the "system" ie: the corporate media aided and abetted by the DLC continues to conspire to give us the weakest possible candidate to go up against McCain. We have already been guaranteed another "close" election at the very least.

I backed Edwards because he was the strongest candidate nationally. Now I will back Obama because he is the strongest of the two we have been allowed to choose from. I can only "hope" that there is nothing in his background that the smear machine can use, otherwise we will in for another four to eight years of republican rule.

We, as a party and as a people, need to start learning to resist the manipulation of media and polls and early primaries because we are fast losing any real power over our own choices politically.

Damned stupid Democrats are already working to snatch defeat out of the jaws of victory. Either dems win over either MittMorman and John McInsane. Unless demos start eating each other. An Edwards supporter myself, I'd vote of either Senator against any Rethug. IF you're voting for Obama cause he's black, then you are a racist. If your're voting for Clinton because she is a woman, then you are a sexist. We need to be strong for whoever gets the nomination because the Rethugs will be merciless. Don't believe anything these Rethugs say about who they'd vote for over Mitt or John; they will not be voting democrat. Don't believe who they say is the stronger/weaker dem candidate: they are lying. The election will be savage but we can keep Bushlite and Bushmore if you stop throwing all these fits of too close partisanship. If we don't, get ready for more Iraq and a war against Iran.

Another thing I noticed while reading these post is all the liberals bad mouthing NPR and CNN. How long have you lived in the USA? This would be the same thing as the Jihadist saying Al Jazeera sucks or the republicans telling everyone fox news is biased in favor of democrats. And Chris Matthews loves republicans................maybe in the next life. Its official I have entered the Twilight Zone.

Shannon @ 64:

With the twin evils of the electoral college system and the main stream noise machine, McCain could well beat either Democrat.
The media elite are always willing to ignore the racist and sexist attacks as long as they come from the Right wing wackos. A clinton vannot even mention the name of Martin Luther King without being labelled as racist. But McCain will be able to deploy surrogates from Tweety to Goldberg to call Obama lazy, shiftless, smelly and terrorist.
Clinton would be painted with the brush of lesbianism, abortion, hormonal excess and robotic coldness without the press complaining.
Either candidate will lose most of the south, if not all, and the electoral votes, not the general election totals, are what we should be looking at.
The only way the Democrats win in November is if the Republican candidate is caught in a bigger scandal than America has yet seen.

You are entitled to your opinion, but your conclusion seems fanciful. After 8 years of republican rule, I doubt any democrat crosses the line. Independents are less easy to predict. However, anyone with two brain cells to rub together must realize that we cannot just have a 'break-even' administration next January. So much damage has been done to our Country, it will take years to recover. And that will require a new administration working with a great deal of urgency.

McCain has sold his sole for this one chance. He is 'owned' by the same corrupt power structure that is pulling Bush's strings. This is too easy to prove. Whoever the democrats choose as their candidate, I believe the entire party will rally around them. The republicans can continue their Hillary sliming, but the worse thing they can really say is she is a woman. They will slime Obama for being a minority. But in a slime war, the republicans loose. The past 8 years have left a vivid picture of lies, mismanagement and corruption on the publics mind. All of their frontrunners are on record as supporting these policies. I watched an interview with Senator Waxman a couple nights back. The investigative committees are really just getting going. There is going to be a steady stream of new scandal surfacing, from now to the election. Hitherto, the democrats have been reluctant to join battle with the republicans, using their slimy tactics. The blogosphere has given them another important voice, and it is getting louder every day. The bloggers are very willing to engage the republican slime machine. The polls cannot account for the 'blog-effect'. It is too new. Its impact is still unknown. My sense tells me that the combined voice of the progressive blogosphere is now louder than the far-rights. It is more thoughtful and holds more truth.

I have noticed an increase in right-wing propaganda posts. That is to be expected and will increase as time goes forward. The right has been using 'young republicans' (like the ones who sang that beautiful "12 days of christmas" for us) to troll the internet sites. They have been doing this for a few years. I do not think this will be an effective tactic for them. That does not mean they will not try to use it. I think the republican strategists would like to run Romney against Obama. Barack is young and has little experience fending off a full-blown smear attack. Hillary is tough as nails and they know they cannot break her. They have written so much filth, told to many lies, and she just keeps getting up off the canvas. No, I think they would rather take their chances with the new kid.

The situation is somewhat similar with the republicans. I think they were planning to have Rudy as their candidate. But, he ran the worst campaign in recent memory and carries way too much political baggage. So, Romney is their man, but they cannot make McCain go away. He has been on the receiving end of their slime machine. But, he has weathered it. He still has a great deal of party big wigs to bring to his side. The latest attack is that he is a liberal. What an asinine notion. I am not sure whether to even take this serious. But, to think a progressive democrat is going to embrace him as a liberal candidate is pretty silly.

I hope that that dope McCain is nominated by the Repugs. His public pronouncements about Iraq have been so spectacularly WRONG and his history of bribe taking before he became a sanctimonious (and phony) "maverick" and "reformer," should give the Democrats plenty of Willie Horton style slams if they learn to play for keeps.

Hillary v McCain

Feb 3 ABC/WaPo
McCain (R) 49%, Clinton (D) 46%

Feb 1 Fox News
McCain (R) 45%, Clinton (D) 44%

Rasmussen Jan 30
McCain (R) 48%, Clinton (D) 40%

Jan 26 Rasmussen
Clinton (D) 47%, McCain (R) 45%

Jan 24 NBC/WSJ
McCain (R) 46%, Clinton (D) 44%

Jan 23 LAT/Bloomberg
Clinton (D) 46%, McCain (R) 42%

Jan 13 Rasmussen
McCain (R) 48%, Clinton (D) 39%

Obama v McCain

Feb 3 ABC/WaPo
Obama (D) 49%, McCain (R) 46%

Feb 1 Fox News
Obama (D) 44%, McCain (R) 43%

Rasmussen Jan 30
McCain (R) 47%, Obama (D) 41%

Jan 26 Rasmussen
Obama (D) 46%, McCain (R) 41%

Jan 24 NBC/WSJ
McCain (R) 42%, Obama (D) 42%

Jan 23 LAT/Bloomberg
McCain (R) 42%, Obama (D) 41%

Jan 16 Hotline
Obama (D) 43%, McCain (R) 42%

more ...
http://www.tpmelectioncentral.com/polltracker/pres_08/

It's only funny if you are informed enough to know that it is. The sad fact is that too many people believe whatever they hear from these right wing hacks from the corporate media. By the time of the election the corporate media will have have praised the GOP candidate and discredited the Democratic one enough to swing the election to the GOP.
And the sheep shall blindly follow.
So get ready for President McCain.
As insane as it is, it's going to happen.

I with Eric that putting very much emphasis on polling data, especially this far out, means little, but when you look at all of the polls, I don't think they were creating "a horse race where none exists." Those numbers are pretty scary, but still hard to believe when the Dems are demolishing them in primary/caucus turnout.

Even scarier when you factor in that electorally, Republicans outperform the national polls because the red states have a disproportionately high number of electoral votes per voter compared to high pop blue states like CA and NY. Even though those small states have but a few electoral votes , they have over the last decade had stagnant population growth comparatively. That's why/how Gore won the popular vote but lost (notwithstanding the FL fiasco) the electoral college. If a Dem is going to win in Nov, they are going to need to see at least a 4-5 point lead to feel comfortable at all.

"beating Hillary Clinton and losing to Barack Obama, both by slim margins"

We've got a new Mondale. Already feels like 1984 all over again.

The people will nominate Obama and the super delegates in their wisdom will give us Hillary, President McCain, and at least another 4 years of madness.

24-28 years of the same 2 families in the White House

Cats r Flyfishn @ 129:

Now that I stopped laughing, I can write this. McCain doesn't stand a snowballs chance in hell in November, least among Democrats. All the anarchist Democrats are supporting Ron Paul. These are the same Democrats that USED to like Mc Cain and now see him as "more wars and less jobs". These TV bobbleheads need to step out into the light and speak with real people. Maybe then they could get their facts straight.

They are not necessarily interested in reporting facts. They're interested in creating them.

McCAIN’S PAST IMMIGRATION ACTIONS TO SUPPORT ILLEGAL IMMIGRATION

In just the past four years, John McCain has taken the following actions to support illegal immigration:

McCAIN: WEAK ON SECURING THE BORDER & ENFORCING IMMIGRATION LAWS

* 2006- Sen. McCain voted against extending the border fence in the Sessions Amendment (2) to H.R. 5441.
* 2006- Sen. McCain voted to prevent the border fence from being built by voting in favor of the Managers Amendment to S. 2611, the Comprehensive Immigration Reform Act of 2006.
* 2006- Sen. McCain voted to allow illegal aliens to receive Social Security by voting to table the Ensign Amendment to S. 2611, the Comprehensive Immigration Reform Act of 2006.
* 2006- Sen. McCain voted against funding additional immigration investigators by voting against the Sessions Amendment (1) to H.R. 5441.
* 2005- Sen. McCain voted against providing funding for additional Border Patrol and ICE agents by voting against the Byrd Amendment to H.R. 1268.

Kathy in St. louis @ 121:

McCain is too old. As the campaign wears on, this will become more and more evident. The economy is beginning to really scare people, and he has candidly said that he doesn't know much about such matters. He supports an uncommonly unpopular war and president. Yep, sounds like a winner to me.

His age won't matter that much in the United States. It wouldn't be any more of a NATIONAL liability than Clinton's gender or Obama's race. At the very least, they offset each other. Besides, if Obama's the nominee, his PERCEIVED inexperience would be even more of an issue because of McCain's age, and the PERCEIVED experience that comes with it.

Besides, the only thing that McCain really supports Bush on is Iraq. He didn't support the tax cuts, which we all know is a big cause of the problems with the economy.

McCain?

... polls show him losing to Barack Obama

As it is writen, let it be so.

A Republican corpse will be able to beat Obama.

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