December 13, 2022

According to a new poll, Republican voters prefer Ron DeSantis as the 2024 presidential nominee by double digits. The USA TODAY/Suffolk University Poll found that Trump's favorability is dwindling while DeSantis is taking the lead. The one-term President garnered 60% of Republican supporters who want him to run again in July, but that started taking a dive by October when it dipped to 56%, and now he's at 47%.

Via USA Today:

Trump is viewed less favorably by his partisans as well. The percentage of Republicans who see him favorably has dropped from 75% in October to 64% in December. His unfavorable rating has risen to 23% from 18%.

Among all voters, Trump has fallen further behind President Joe Biden in a hypothetical head-to-head. Now, Biden would win a general-election matchup by 47% to 40%. (Because of the effects of rounding, Biden's margin is a bit wider than that indicates, at 7.8 points.) In October, Biden also led but by a narrower margin, 46%-42%.

These numbers are bad news for the former President:

By 2-1, GOP and GOP-leaning voters now say they want Trump's policies but a different standard-bearer to carry them. While 31% want the former President to run, 61% prefer some other Republican nominee who would continue the policies Trump has pursued.

And there is some bad news for Biden, too. While he would likely defeat Trump, he trails DeSantis in the poll.

Since October, his favorable rating has ticked up a percentage point, to 46%, and his unfavorable rating down a point, to 50%. But support among Democrats for him to seek a second term has declined, to 40% from 45%. Among all voters, just 23% want him to run again.

While Biden now leads Trump, he trails DeSantis in a head-to-head race, with DeSantis at 47%, Biden at 43%.

I'm more worried about DeSantis than Trump. The Florida Governor isn't stupid. Can you imagine the damage Lumpy could have done if he had been intelligent?

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