The Bush Economy and the Myth of the Clinton Recession

It's official. According to a statement from the National Bureau of Economic Research, the United States has been in a recession since December 2007. But while that conclusion from the non-governmental NEBR differs from the traditional definition of two consecutive quarters of GDP contraction, by any accounting the Bush recession will be well underway by the end of this year. And by either measure, the conservative talking point of a Clinton recession "inherited by George W. Bush" remains a myth.

The NEBR declaration is just the latest confirmation of the severe Bush downturn. Last week, the Commerce Department revised its third quarter (July through October) gross domestic product decline to 0.5% from 0.3%, while two recent forecasts predicted a Q4 drop-off of at least 3%. Two weeks ago, the quarterly Survey of Professional Forecasters by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia concluded that the United States already entered a recession in April. Today, the NEBR's analysis, which includes a broader range of factors beyond GDP, concluded that the U.S. has been in a recession since December 2007. As CNN reported:

The NBER said that the deterioration in the labor market throughout 2008 was one key reason why it decided to state that the recession began last year.

Employers have trimmed payrolls by 1.2 million jobs in the first 10 months of this year. On Friday, economists are predicting the government will report a loss of another 325,000 jobs for November.

The NBER also looks at real personal income, industrial production as well as wholesale and retail sales. All those measures reached a peak between November 2007 and June 2008, the NBER said.

Facing the avalanche of grim news Monday, the White House still refuses to use the term "recession" to describe the economic calamity that Barack Obama will inherit from George W. Bush. Two months after press secretary Dana Perino claimed, "I don’t think anybody could tell you right now if we’re in a recession or not" and one month after he himself rejected a question as to whether the U.S. was in a recession as "irrelevant," Bush spokesman Tony Fratto today said of the slowdown, "What's important is what is being done about it."

Of course, back in 2001 the new Bush administration and its amen corner in the right-wing media weren't shy at all when it came to blaming a sluggish economy on Bill Clinton.

While the NEBR determined the George W. Bush's first recession actually began in March 2001, the history of U.S. GDP shows that the traditional definition of recession - two straight quarters of GDP decline - was never met during either the last year of the Clinton presidency or the first of Bush's tenure:

Undeterred, the Republican Party and its echo chamber have for years continued to perpetuate the myth that President Bush "inherited a recession" from Bill Clinton. As Media Matters detailed, the sound bite was introduced before George W, Bush even took the oath of office. On December 3, 2000, Dick Cheney told Tim Russert "I think so" when asked if "we're on the front edge of a recession." Within days, former House Speaker Newt Gingrich ("the Bush-Cheney administration should be planning on having inherited a recession as the farewell gift from Clinton") and House Majority Leader Dick Armey ("this new president may inherit a recession") followed suit. By August 2002, Mitch Daniels, Bush's head of the Office of Management and Budget, announced on Fox News:

"He [Bush] inherited that recession from the previous administration. Case is closed."

Predictably, the drumbeat from the Bush team was reproduced with zero distortion from the always reliable media. While Fox News' Sean Hannity made the argument during the November 2002 mid-term election "this president -- you know and I know and everybody knows -- inherited a recession," CNN made the case for him two months earlier. On September 18th, 2002, CNN's John King announced, "That's why the president, in almost every speech, tries to remind voters he inherited a recession." Five days later, his colleague Suzanne Malveaux regurgitated the same line, reporting, "[Bush] took up that very issue earlier today, saying -- reminding voters that the administration inherited the recession."

To be sure, the Republican propaganda effort worked its magic. In 2004, pollster Geoff Garin showed that 62% of Americans believed the demonstrably false claim that an "economic recession actually began during Bill Clinton's administration, before George W. Bush took office."

Now as Barack Obama prepares to assume the presidency, the right-wing noise machine is at again, though this time with a twist. Literally within hours of his election, conservative mouthpieces including Rush Limbaugh, Fred Barnes and Dick Morris began blaming Obama for the current Bush recession.

Of course, the numbers, unlike the Republicans who willfully ignore them, don't lie. By almost any measure, the American economy is (or within days will be said to be) in recession. And this time, there will be no doubt as to its paternity.

This is George W. Bush's recession.

Related Reactions

Advertise Here

Login or Register to post comments.

52 comments

have built-in calendars?

)O(

Sure, it's Bush's recession.

That's why pigboy and others are already calling it Obama's recession.

They'll keep after repeating the lie until it becomes "common knowledge."

When the ProfitMedia keeps on spreading baseless lies

it's really no wonder that democracy dies.

... will commission Zogby to poll Obama supporters if they knew that Obama was responsible for the recession.

the lyingest pollster ever! If anyone is practiced in double-speak, it's zodby. david frum is a close second for framing bullshit to sound like fact.

We're in the third longest recession since WWII, and didn't even know it until yesterday.

Rush the child rapist junkie gave away the blame game plan.

What pops out at me immediately about this list is that of the last 9 recessions, only 1 (and the shortest one at that) happened under a Democratic president. The lesson here appears to be that Republicans cause recessions. But we already knew that, didn't we?

It's still Bill's fault. Chimpers fought valiantly against the evil Bill's schemes for 7 years, but sadly evil Bill's plans of ruining the US economy won out.

It's telling to notice that most of these recessions
were during Republican governments.

Deregulation is their answer to everything.

... to raise the national debt

them get elected.
Screw the little guy.

millionaire incumbents and your democracy is saved.

Didn't bush say a few months ago that this was just a "rough patch"?
Seems to me it's more like a hell hole.

49 daze and counting.

I must admit, I hadn't heard that latest crock. Are conservatives really trying to claim that George W. Bush inherited a recession from Clinton?

... they did.

Dems in the house and senate the last two years...I laughed in her face, and replied that not only did the repugs filibuster damn near, if not every bill the Dems tried to get passed. They also, bulldogged their own shitty bills that ended up making this bad situation much worse...I told her this economic clusterfuck was the repugs baby....and that those who voted for them are just as responsible.
She doesn't talk to me much anymore.

the sheer failure of the Dems at controlling the message and perception.

Having been the bringers of such desolation, hubris, and deception. The GOP, in a normal environment, would have deemed toxic and would be most likely going the way of the dodo by now. Alas, the Dems have a knack for enabling their opponents.

I am afraid, that these GOP bastards will be able to pin the recession on Obama, and they will be running on that platform for 2010.

But maybe we can stop it if we start workin now, to dull or better yet, override the GOP's message with one of our own.

Oops, sorry, I forgot. In my political discourse, a claim hasn't been validated until it is backed up with proof of some kind.

I forgot to take into account conservative standards. My bad.

Slippin! ;)

Just like they blamed 9/11 on Clinton.

Now that Obama is in office, count on the right laying blame on him for everything from the Hindenberg disaster to Pearl Harbour (Barak was born in Hawaii, afterall)

)O(

Not Pearl Baily?

their perspective requires keeping their shoulders between their legs
AND THEIR HEADS UP THEIR ASSES.

The chimp basically ran on the GOP version of "it is the economy stupid."

They do it backwards though, the take a great economy, they talk it down during the elections, and voila... they get elected.

The sad part is, I believe, that the chimp thought that since he was able to talk the economy down, he would be able to talk the economy up once he got into office and voila... he would be the one "saving the day."

A few years later, after Enron, Tyco et al. The Bushistas learned the lesson that economies are not able to be "talked up."

What I find mind blowing is that literally, every GOP presidency since Eisenhower has increased the national debt to new unheard of records. Yet, it is the Dems who (to this day) are still thought of as the runaway gov spending peeps.

The GOP sure does suck at running business, however they are marketing geniuses.

)O(

They've already tried to blame the election of Obama, and the Democratic Congress. But the announcement saying that the recession has been going on for a year (the Dems have only had control for a little more than a year and a half)puts the onus on republicans and boosh.

as soon as the election was over. Their mission has not changed.

"We will rewrite the record book on length for this recession."- ALLEN SINAI, an economic analyst with Decision Economics in Lexington, Mass.

Mr. Allen Sinai: a long recession is known as a depression, not a "record long recession."

Economists et al need that just because they can control the message does not necessarily mean they can make their own reality.

That say the recession is the repugs fault and no one elses, and paste them SOB's everywhere.

Did you honestly think they'd do anything different? It's clinton's fault while they're still in power, it'll be Obama's fault when they're finally back in their caves and he's in office.
reslugs are consistent in one thing only. They consistently act like bratty brainless 6 year olds.

Republicans are the "Party of Personal Responsibility."

That means that they party big-time on everybody elses' dollar. Then, when it all comes crashing down aroun us it's:

"Everybody else is personally responsible - we didn't do nuthin'."

You betcha! (wink)

I thought it was a given that Bush is the worst ever. that's a concensus by anyone who thinks. I don't know that we need any more proof of all that he has done to sink this country. The emphasis of all of us now has to be not on placing the blame on the incompetent bush, but rather how can we clean up his mess and right this ship. If we continue concentration on placing the blame on bush and the republicans then rightful emphasis cannot be concentrated on how best to right the economy. If the economy is not righted, then bush will have accomplished his goal and his legacy, namely to destroy this country and he will then have kept his record of destruction intact. The only attention paid to bush and his cronies should be only on why impeachment poceedings have not been brought forth.

It is difficult and unwise to forget the past; as Joe-the-Veep-Elect stated, "past is prologue".

It would be unwise to bury the mistakes of the past maladministration.

You are certainly correct about keeping a clear focus on putting things right.

But the wrongs and excesses of the Bush junta must be clearly pointed out as a sort of "public education on government."

For example, the Republican Fable of "Regulation = BAD!"

Now is a good time to educate the public with regard to how "deregulation" put us in this mess.

"Regulations" are laws that corporations should be obliged to follow - just as ordinary people must follow laws.

Okay if it was the dems fault, how about the rebubs find a solution and why haven't they found one yet?

it's called FEUDALISM.

The Republican solution to the current economic crisis, (and all other crisises, for that matter) is to blame it on a Democrat.

i've blocked out the specifics, but C&L needs to check out the "advice" kkkarl rove was dishing out for OBAMA this morning...

he also made a crack about coming from FOX...
and something about his role as a repug strategist, or is it pundit?

just a thought...

The fact that this piece of shit Rove is not in jail illustrates the failure we have become as a society.

I can't believe so many peeps in my family tree (and I am sure it is the same for untold people in this country) fought for this nation, so that we can let it devolve into this... for shame.

Clinton was responsible for the Great Depression. He traveled back in time to 1929 and collapsed the Stock Market. And he's doing it again...only without the time machine...unless, it's future Bill Clinton, or past Bill traveling forward from the 90s. Anyway, it's all true, the voices in my head and Jesus told me so.

It has been the GOP goal to bankrupt the gov't so that the only thing we are able to pay for is defense spending. They have handed corporations a blank check to rape and pillage the American people. It has stripped citizens of economic security while enriching a small percentage of greedy people. While a few people make billions of dollars, young people are losing their lives in Iraq and Afghanistan for corporate and political greed. It makes me very angry about this injustice.

..was pretty much the work of the Gingrich/Repug congress. But that's history. We have an enormous mess on our hands now, as this is not your ordinary, run-of-the-mill recession; more like the "mother of all recessions," which will likely be called a Depression sometime in 2009.

Millions more will be having housing problems and this economy will continue to shed jobs. Fortunately, Obama seems focused on taking proactive measures to help as soon as he's in office. But, whatever plans are enacted, the results will not be felt for many, many months. And, we really don't know yet what the full impact of all those quadrillions of derivatives, CDOs and what-have-you that are floating out there in the financial ionosphere.

And, keep in mind, that the folks who created this crisis will continue to do evil deeds in the background. The Bush Crime Family - including all the various aunts, uncles and cousins in banks and corporations around the world - will still be doing whatever they can to pick the bones of the US economy. The next few years of the "Great Bush Depression" are not going to be pretty. Just one more reason Georgie and Dickie should be indicted and prosecuted for crimes against humanity.

Look if the Bush Administration said FDR did it Americans would believe. Living in 1992-2000 and seeing many jobs, homes and even bank savings increase so much that teens had summer jobs with savings accounts. In 2000 the Bush team used God's name and knew they were going to rob the US taxpayer blind. It worked! Now that were in the Bush recession Americans are looking to blame someone so Bush/Cheney tell the lies. Katrina Victims live on TV dying and begging for help. Foreign Countries quickly seen aide as Americans help, but Bush for 5 days says he didn't know it was happening as he sit back and relaxed in DC. Cheney quickly came back from vacation to set up ways to steal money. Americans yelled for the President he called Bill Clinton to do the work. Cheney made his illegal profits. Then everything returned back to following Bush/Cheney. But the faces of those dying people on the street in New Orleans and those shot by police on the bridge as shown live on TV will never go away. Americans allowed, believed and followed the most Evil dictator/thief the US has ever had.

still voted for McSame. One of them told me that he doesn't care if he loses his job or not. Preventing abortion and gay marriage is far more important. Can't help but hope that he loses his job. Maybe if he goes hungry and loses his house and his car is repo'd, he will gain some understanding.

. . . maybe it's the fault of some other Democrat, like, say for example, FDR.

There were recent letters to the editors in the Dallas Morning Nudes faulting FDR for the economic down-turn in 1937.

Of course what they don't mention is that besides his immediate help to to distressed citizens was they he pretty much invented trickle-down economics, but called it priming the pumps.

And Of course that downturn didn't make the textbooks like the republican crash of '29.

And it also doesn't take into account that FDR had to contend with the Four Horseman on the Supreme Court who said everything he did was unconstitutional until 1938 and they started backing off or retiring.

While GW was promoting the Clinton recession, he was also promoting the idea that since the Government had a surplus, it had too much of the people's money. Clinton left GW with a healthy budget and the means to reasonably stimulate the economy. Eight years later, GW leaves a massive recession and a national debt he more than doubled.
Further note that during the later years of the Clinton admin., Greenspan couldn't raise interest rates fast enough. He smelled inflation everywhere until he came up with a new term the core inflation rate.

No one comes close while Frank Luntz is alive and well.

[Comment Deleted By Administration For Violation Of Terms Of Service]
[Comment Deleted By Administration For Violation Of Terms Of Service]
52 comments

Login or Register to post comments.