Can Santorum Make Us Smile For A Change?

I knew there was too much time after the South Carolina primary before Michigan held their primary for Santorum's lead to last. I didn't think he'd talk in tongues for over a week, but if Mitt needed to he would have had his SuperPAC smear the

[oldembed src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/o2ZjHJqqu9E" width="425" height="300" resize="1" fid="21"]

I knew there was too much time after the South Carolina primary before Michigan held their primary for Santorum's lead to last. I didn't think he'd talk in tongues for over a week, but if Mitt needed to he would have had his SuperPAC smear the heck out of him much more than the above video. However, is there a sliver of hope that Santorum will take Michigan after all? Nate SIlver's latest tries to give us a little comfort food:

Michigan Forecast Update: Romney’s Lead Looks More Tenuous

Since we ran the Michigan numbers early Monday morning, three new polls are out that make the state look more like a true toss-up and less like one that favors Mr. Romney.Two of the surveys, from Mitchell Research and American Research Group, in fact give Rick Santorum a nominal lead in Michigan, by 2 and 1 percentage points respectively. The third, from Rasmussen Reports, gives Mr. Romney a 2-point advantage.We also added a hard-to-track down survey from Baydoun Consulting, which gave Mr. Romney an 8-point advantage. However, it is less recent than the others, having been conducted on Thursday night rather than over the weekend.Among the five polls that were conducted over the weekend — including those that had been included with the previous update — three give Mr. Romney a small lead while two show an edge for Mr. Santorum.Mr. Romney still has the advantage in the FiveThirtyEight forecast, but it is more tenuous than the one we released overnight. The model gives him a 64 percent chance of winning the state, down from 77 percent in the previous forecast.

Rick Santorum does still have a slight chance in Michigan from Nate's POV. I fall into the category that the religious right found a topic it can scream about with the contraception issue even though most women of any faith are repelled by this discussion. Initially it's a win for President Obama. But remember, they are patient and willing to wait decades to turn public opinion to their side of the issue. I doubt Santorum will win Michigan, but it's still possible to keep this clown show going.

About John Amato

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