What to do about Zimbabwe?

The UN says Zimbabwe's government is hiding the full scale of its cholera epidemic. Original video from the UK's Sky News.

Nicole Belle sent me a link today about a report by Physicians for Human Rights on the horror story Zimbabwe has become:

PHR found that the Mugabe government has withheld food aid, seed, and fertilizer to rural provinces in order to starve political opponents; that the regime nationalized and then withheld routine support for municipal water and sewer systems from cities that elected political opponents; that the health care infrastructure and the economy itself is nearing utter collapse; corruption is the rule not the exception; and that the regime brutally silences critics to cover its crimes, profound corruption and incompetence (see report here).

“While we were there,” Frank Donaghue, CEO of Physicians for Human Rights told Religion Dispatches, “human rights activists were imprisoned and tortured.”

“People think that the most compelling problem is cholera,” he said (and indeed, the cholera outbreak has been widely reported). But, adds Donaghue, it is also a symptom of more profound underlying problems. “The issue is the collapse of the government, the economy, and the health system” he said. “Human waste is running down the streets. Kids are playing in it. The sewage system is in such bad repair that you get sewage in tap water.”

 and added:

This could so easily be a big foreign policy headache for Obama, too easily reminiscent of the Clinton policy in Rwanda -- with Hillary Clinton at State...

And it wouldn't hurt progressives to get out ahead on this

Nicole's correct. But what to do? I just don't see the US being able to act alone or cobble together another Coalition of the Willing without the UN's blessing. Mugabe is as nutz as the neocons would like us to think Ahmadinejad is and has the military's backing - sanctions and political pressure likely won't do a thing. Zimbabwe has only 30,000 of an army and an almost non-existent airforce so intervention by force would be a "cakewalk"...in the primary (invasion) phase...

But then there's the many short and long term drawbacks of yet another invasion and occupation to consider. South Africa's support and basing agreements would be essential. There would certainly be an insurgency of some kind. Accusations of colonialism and imperialist invasions would echo and probably rightly so. The US and others are still not set up for nation-building. The UK already has military contingency plans in place but has said clearly it won't go it alone for these very reasons.

The best bet, to my mind, would be a UN-mandated relief effort, protected by a UN-mandated force - which would have to include African troops. That's likely inadequate to the problem, but it's what's feasible in both short and long terms and a bit of help is better than no help at all.

The situation is certainly dire enough that PHR is asking for UN intervention.

Control of Zimbabwe's shattered health system should be handed over to the United Nations, an independent doctors group has demanded.

As the official death toll from the country's cholera epidemic yesterday topped 2,000, Physicians for Human Rights said government corruption was killing innocent people. The international doctors' group also called for President Robert Mugabe to be investigated by the International Criminal Court at the launch of a report titled Health in Ruins – A Man-made Disaster in Zimbabwe.

Is Zimbabwe a justified cause for a UN-approved coalition empowered under the Responsibility to Protect principles as ratified at the 2001 ICISS summit and recognized under UN Security Council Resolution 1674 (2006)?  This resolution technically commits Security Council members to intervene in situations like this (if they are deemed to qualify as "genocide, war crimes, ethnic cleansing and crimes against humanity").

At that point, the first problem becomes one of getting such a resolution passed. China, which is heavily invested in Zimbabwe and thus the Mugabe government, might well veto any such move and some of Zimbabwe's neighbours including SA wouldn't be too happy at the prospect of refugees streaming across their borders. The second problem, of course, would be affording such a military-supported relief effort in the midst of an economic crisis. The third, stopping Zimbabwe turning into another quagmire.

Until recently, I thought that negotiations between the government and its main rival might provide a solution, but now it's obvious they won't. I'm not entirely opposed to the notion of using force for humanitarian interventions but I am very opposed to the notion that a new Zimbabwe effort would also open the door to more of the same after Iraq slammed it closed good and hard. The neo-whatevers, who have always loved war more than the humanitarian reasons they advance for those wars, would just love that. Since I'm no longer certain as to what to think, so this post is by way of asking for thoughts and debate.

Crossposted from Newshoggers



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25 comments
)O(

Rename them New Kentucky?

Unfortunately we can't do much about Zimbabwe until we get our stuff together here. We need to get out of our empire building mishaps in Iraq and Afghanistan. We need to get rid of Bush. Obama will be much better.

And this kills me. I've spent time in Kenya studying and they all need help over there. Help by the way that we could easily give them and in the process make a lot of lifelong friends.

It kills me that this country is in such sad shape from the last eight years of mistakes and crimes. We are not a leader or a good example anymore.

What are the other surrounding countries doing? Yes, we should take a leadership position in the problem but, it would seem to me the countries surrounding Zimbabwe would take some serious steps toward solving the problem. Cholera isn't choosey about who it will attack.

And it doesn't care about borders either.
In this day and age, it could be around the planet already.

The answer was in the story. China must do something. China must do something first and in the beginning they must do it alone.

Zim

Having spent many years in the region I have the following observations:
* Bob Mugabe will not give up power short of death or force
* These options are most likely to come about through old age or an internal coup by his army that hasn't been paid
* Sanctions by South Africa can shut down the regime within weeks, but they are unlikely to do this even if pressured (the solidarity between the ANC and Zanu PF is as strong as that between the USA and Israel)
* China is ALL over Africa but they are a long time Mugabe supporter and their record in Darfur explains their real interest
* The 'Charlie Wilson's War' solution is the best option for the US if they feel the need to get involved (the CIA won't even have to choose the 'wrong' side, the opposition has been elected but denied 3 times already ... the choice is obvious)

The Darfur situation is bad, but the situation in Congo is chilling: 5.4 million dead
http://www.independent.co.uk/opinion/commenta...?

Africa is a lot bigger than most of us realize - it's huge!
http://strangemaps.files.wordpress.com/2006/1...

Dropping loaves of bread, bottled water, and medicine from helicopters might help. But then I have always thought that would solve more problems than raining hot lead.

Mugabe: Worse than Bush, who knew that was even possible.

Isn't it possible that the U.S. Government has been paying Mugabe for the last few years to STAY in office and NOT go into exile?

Just so people can say 'See, Bush isn't the WORST world leader...'

This theory would also explain while Rod Blagojevich is sticking around: he just has to make it till the 20th.

I've seen some private comments by people I respect and who know Zimbabwe's internal workings that Mugabe was considering stepping down when he lost the last election, but that the military and political figures who support him, and know they're all looking at charges at The Hague for crimes against humanity if he falls, insisted he stay on.

Regards, C

Cernig at 19:47 has it right.

The UK and US needs to provide an exit pass for three generals, and then make sure they understand that it is the only way out. Three thugs leave, and it is over. This will happen, eventually.

There is not a military solution here, and even it was that kind of situation, neither the UK or US would do anything short of a shooting war.

South Africa could end this tomorrow. The whole thing is disgusting.

RSA

The issues of racism & colonialism run very, very deep. Mugabe continues this pattern, as he's blamed all his countries' ills on "white colonialism." The key is, as others have pointed out, South Africa. They are the most powerful country in sub-Saharan Africa, and the only reason Mugabe is still in power is because the South Africans wanted it that way: they share the same type of racism.

If the world put pressure on RSA to end the torture of Zimbabwe like it did to end apartheid, things would change very quickly. I'm curious if our artists & musicians would understand or appreciate the kind of racism that exists in RSA or Zim, and if they did, would they stand up to it as well?

The BBC already has footage of Mugabe's thugs chasing rival party members with clubs and it seemed to be an organized effort throughout the country, so I'd say the question of systematic human rights violations is pretty clear.

South Africa seems to operate on the principle that "once a friend, a friend for eternity no matter how insanely murderous that friend becomes". so I don't see them getting more active. Frankly, I'm more worried that South Africa will go down the toilet as well with Zuma.

I hate to say it; but, we can't even provide our own people with healthcare, affordable housing, affordable daycare, jobs, or a descent education; yet, here we are discussing another babysitting mission for the Army. I have a much better idea; how about, we use the US Army to build thousands of small environmentally friendly factories. We'd all have good jobs then wouldn't we. Just hang up that superpower ego for a minute and take care of ourselves for a change. Wouldn't it just feel good to be selfish for just a minute.

The whole world is in a twitter because Israel has whacked upwards of 1,000 Palestinians. The simple, ugly but accurate truth of the matter is (and always has been), Until those millions of sick and slaughtered human beings in Africa turn into Caucasians, no one is going to help them. This is the world we live in. What is this.......Comment Number 16?

If we let helicopter Ben continue his quantitative easing (a.k.a. print dollars at idiot speed) we might find ourselves looking a bit like Zimbabwe.

Look at the link below and ponder Obama's bailout, Ben and Henry's print-o-matic agenda.

Global Crisis? This is the real crisis!
http://www.boncherry.com/blog/2008/10/26/glob...

Treasury: deficit hits new record in just 3 months
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Treasury-defici...

been touting its huge involvement with African matters? Didn't bush say "ask the Africans" about how great he is?

His involvement in Africa has been largely to fund AIDS prevention efforts by groups that agree with his theology. If you discuss birth control or abortion, no money for you.

I would love to see an international airlift of supplies and medicines but also agree that the Mugabe regime needs to be over-turned.

Just what we need...to be meddling again in somebody else's country. We don't have any problems here at home? Somebody appointed the US as the World's Policeman? Mugabe? Same as Chavez, just a little further along the dictatorial road. The human race never seems to run out of power-mad assholes. We keep "helping" and "helping", and then get blamed when everything goes into the crapper.
Let us for once keep America OUT of these things.

You know all those British soldiers leaving Iraq soon? They (and perhaps Australians and Canadians from Afghanistan as well as South Africans, all of whom are Commonwealth countries) should invade Zimbabwe, which is still a part of the British Commonwealth, thus legally still under rule of Queen Elizabeth. The armed forces could easily take over the country, remove Mugabe for war crimes trials in the Hague, and allow Morgan Tzangarai to assume his legally elected position as president. The country would immediately regain credibility and neighboring nations would be willing to help politically and economically.

If the US and England are going to advocate "regime change", they should do it where it's needed, and especially where one of them has the legal authority to do it. They had no such authority to invade Iraq, so invading Zimbabwe could at least allow the Brits to make amends for their recent past actions.

Wow. Just think, if we gave Bush about 4 more years we could be in the same place as Zimbabwe.

actually, its coming anyway. If Obama continues the bailouts.

Inflation is deadly, the US currency system works like Zimbabwe's.

We stayed out of AIDS originally, and now it's here and everywhere. Cholera is a contagious disease. Many of the social pathologies of Africa may eventually be traced to viral/bacterial/parasitic infections of the brains of leadership, be it the Amins and Mugabes, armed forces and guerrillas led by power-crazed greedheads, or male chauvinists who turn to rape after they are diagnosed as HIV-positive.

Sending the UN in will not be a Bad Thing. Getting the Obama admin to OK contraceptive relief, HIV prevention, and an expansion of the Peace Corps in the name of economic relief here and abroad would be equally desirable in the name of self-defense and defense of European labor immigrants' health. All troubles have vectors to spread them. These vectors can be reduced or eliminated.

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