Alan Greenspan, Born-Again Deficit Hawk

In October 2008, former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan famously admitted during testimony before Congress that he was wrong about regulation of the U.S. financial system. Asked by Henry Waxman (D-CA) if "your ideology was not right, it was not working?" a humbled Greenspan lamented:
"I made a mistake in presuming that the self-interests of organizations, specifically banks and others, were such as that they were best capable of protecting their own shareholders and their equity in the firms."
Now, with a Democrat in the White House and nearly nine years after he blessed President Bush's budget-busting 2001 tax cuts for the wealthy, Alan Greenspan has become a born-again deficit hawk.
In Senate testimony Thursday, Greenspan strongly endorsed the deeply flawed Conrad-Gregg proposal to create a deficit commission, warning that the need to curb the American budget deficits "is more urgent than at any time in our history."
In testimony prepared for delivery before the Senate Homeland Security Committee, Greenspan warned that the United States faces the threat of an unprecedented "fiscal crisis" because of record red ink.
Of course, when it really mattered, when he could have made a difference, Alan Greenspan gave George W. Bush a green light for red ink as far as the eye can see.
When he took office on January 20, 2001, President Bush inherited both a balanced budget and a CBO-projected 10-year surplus of $5.6 trillion from Bill Clinton. But just five days later on January 25, 2001, Chairman Greenspan gave Bush and his Republican allies the air cover they needed to proceed with the $1.4 trillion tax cut package passed later that year. Greenspan testified to the Senate Budget Committee that "having a tax cut in place may, in fact, do noticeable good." As CNN noted at the time, "the Fed chairman's backing of tax cuts as economically sound likely will provide a boost to the new administration's proposals."
As Paul Krugman documented in 2004, the message behind Greenspan's talk of "pre-emptive smoothing of the glide path to zero federal debt" was unmistakable. "Translation: Go ahead and cut taxes."
And to be sure, the Maestro's refrain of tax cuts and Social Security privatization were music to Republican ears:
All through the Clinton years, Greenspan preached the virtues of fiscal restraint, and he did not change his views when the budget deficits of the 80's and early 90's vanished. Just six months before his 2001 testimony, Greenspan saw no problem with large projected budget surpluses. "The Congress and the administration," he said in July 2000, "have wisely avoided steps that would materially reduce these budget surpluses. Continued fiscal discipline will contribute to maintaining robust expansion of the American economy in the future." But then a Republican entered the White House, brandishing a tax-cut proposal -- and Greenspan suddenly developed an elaborate theory of why it was necessary to reduce those surpluses, after all.
Any doubts that Greenspan holds George Bush to different standards than he held Bill Clinton were dispelled in the years that followed. He didn't call for a reconsideration of the 2001 tax cut when the budget surplus evaporated. He didn't even offer strong objections to a second major round of tax cuts in 2003, when the budget was already deep in deficit.
And as turned out, of course, that Bush administration's endless deficits were made worse by the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, the unfunded Medicare prescription drug benefit, the Bush recession starting in December 2007 and finally, the Wall Street bailouts of 2008. After Ronald Reagan tripled the national debt during the 1980's George W. Bush doubled it again during the Oughts.
The devastation wrought by the Bush tax cuts endorsed by Alan Greenspan is far from over. According to an analysis by the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities (CBPP), between 2001 and 2007 the Bush tax cuts accounted for almost half of the federal budget deficits. And as CBPP detailed in an eye-opening report released this week, the carnage will continue if the Bush tax cuts (see chart above) are, as Greenspan long ago called for, made permanent:
Some critics charge that the new policies pursued by President Obama and the 111th Congress generated the huge federal budget deficits that the nation now faces. In fact, the tax cuts enacted under President George W. Bush, the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq, and the economic downturn together explain virtually the entire deficit over the next ten years (see Figure 1).
The deficit for fiscal 2009 was $1.4 trillion and, at an estimated 10 percent of Gross Domestic Product (GDP), was the largest deficit relative to the size of the economy since the end of World War II. Under current policies, deficits will likely exceed $1 trillion in 2010 and 2011 and remain near that figure thereafter.
The events and policies that have pushed deficits to astronomical levels in the near term, however, were largely outside the new Administration's control. If not for the tax cuts enacted during the Presidency of George W. Bush that Congress did not pay for, the cost of the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan that began during that period, and the effects of the worst economic slump since the Great Depression (including the cost of steps necessary to combat it), we would not be facing these huge deficits in the near term.
In March 2005, an unrepentant Chairman Greenspan defended his past support of the dangerous Bush tax cuts even as the ocean of red ink washed over the U.S. Treasury. When Senator Hillary Clinton took him to task by rightly noting, "your testimony helped blow the lid off the lock boxes when it came to the size of the tax cut, the extent of the tax cut," a nonchalant Greenspan simply responded:
"I look back and I would say to you, if confronted with the same evidence we had back then, I would recommend exactly what I recommended then. It turns out we were all wrong."
As it turns out, Alan Greenspan was wrong - disastrously wrong - and not for the first time or the last.
In the 1980's, then consultant Greenspan reaped huge fees working for Charles Keating's Lincoln Savings and Loan, an institution later at the heart of the S&L debacle. "'Of course I'm embarrassed by my failure to foresee what eventually transpired," he said later. I was wrong about Lincoln. I was wrong about what they would ultimately do and the problems they would ultimately create.''
Following last year's implosion of Wall Street and the bursting of the American real estate market, the New York Times, Time and a host of others pointed the finger at Greenspan. While Greenspan told Henry Waxman in October 2008 that he was "shocked" by the subprime crisis, many had been warning since 2004 about the "the strangest bit of advice ever to be proffered by an American central banker."
Now, Alan Greenspan dhas belatedly ecided to contradict Dick Cheney's mantra that "Reagan proved deficits don't matter." Hopefully this time, no one will be listening to Greenspan. After all, he's been cataclysmically wrong three times now.
Three strikes and you're out.
(For more background on the Republican leaders now denouncing the mountain of debt they produced for America, see "Born Again Deficit Virgins.")




Who in hell TRULY understands any of this nonsense?
It's no wonder the economy's in the tank. We have various groups of Larry, Curly and Moe running the show.
Deficit, schmeficit.
Can't anybody balance a freakin' checkbook around here?!
"The US has an army of 90,000 soldiers in Afghanistan and is spending $100bn a year, but has still been unable to defeat 20,000-25,000 Taliban who receive no pay at all." - Patrick Cockburn
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gXNFF0n1rcA
Diabolus est Deus Inversus
I hear ya.
far left loon >.<
during the Clinton years, IMO. Then somehow, Bushco got him to drink the koolaid.
I don't know what Bushco had on poor old Greenspan, but it made him roll over, paws in the air, making pathetic whimpering noises.
Then Bushco led him to the edge of a cliff and he jumped right over, taking the rest of us along for the ride.
Oh what a feeling ...
A lot of people understand what makes the economy tick, and how to manage the economy in order to reduce the impact of inevitable downturns. The problem is that there are idealogues and partisans, who are so wedded to Randian philosophy and/or the Republican agenda, that they screw it up over and over again. Greenspan, in particular, just doesn't get the fact that his friends, without regulation and left to their own devices, will always seek to maximize short-term personal profit at the expense of all else. Hell, that's what human beings do, but Greenspan and his ilk seem to have convinced themselves that they're better than that -- even while they're sucking wealth they didn't create out of the system at an alarming rate.
The more interesting question is why people able to perform well academically respond so slavishly to Ayn Rand? She lifted most of her philosophy from Nietzsche and others, she wasn't that skilled a writer, she was addicted to amphetamines and she was doing the humpty-dance with one of her disciples. I've read Atlas Shrugged, and it's little more than a 15-year old's fantasy -- "I'm right, you're wrong, and all my mistakes are caused by others who don't understand me." That's not philosophy, that's Lindsay Lohan.
String him up by his thumbs. He's less than useless.
A gov't lives by its taxes. Cut them and you drain the lifeblood of everything from safety services to roads to small business incentives.
I would pay a lot of money to see and hear Greenspan and Paul Krugman answer my questions about the economy. You see, Krugman has been saying that these deficits do not matter at this time and in the context of history the deficits are not really that big. I would like to do a Charlie Rose thing with me asking the questions and doing the moderating. At this point Greenspan's concern means next to nothing to me.
Damn the dollars full speed to war ahead
But not a penny for domestic spending!
Diabolus est Deus Inversus
A more comprehensive $174-billion jobs bill -- also expected to be approved by the House -- is likely to have to wait until next year for consideration in the Senate.
Deficits didn't matter during the boosh year and all the war mongering
So deficits shouldn't matter for infrastructure investment
The former stuff gets destroyed
The latter stuff gets used for decades.
Diabolus est Deus Inversus
"Defense"?? Oh wait we're still fighting them over there so we don't have to fight them here I forgot.
Greenspan quote strangely revealing. It's almost as if he imagined that organizations like banks, indeed any corporation, were self aware. As if these fictitious entities had some innate desire for self preservation and so would act in their own self interest in avoiding risk and, indirectly, in the interests of their shareholders. This hasn't been true for a long time. All of these organizations have been run to optimize the returns for their management who, once they've skimmed the cream, leave all the real risks for their shareholders and lately, the taxpayers. How anyone watching Wall Street could believe otherwise is a mystery.
Hasa Diga Eebowai
If we just had someone in charge of the FED who had read Atlas Shrugged.
oh, wait....
to me it's amazing that when bush gave those
huge tax cuts then and what the gop wants to do
again.......why do they give them to only the elite rich
when it was the 98% of the taxpayers that paid
these taxes? but when it's time to give a tax break,
the 98% is asked to just bend over grab your ankles
and get ready for a hard dry humping...
the fucking minor tax break that i did get from
bush one year was taken back and more the very
next year.......fucking liars.
its like when you flush the toilet ...but nothing goes down it just swirls around and then starts coming up towards you? ...
Thanks to the wonderful corporate media thats what the last year has been like:
Cheney, 'Dr'. Greenspan, Krystol, Rove ... these turds just wont go away.
I'm Boycotting NewsCorp! Heres what not to buy: http://www.cjr.org/resources/index.php?c=news...
Lenny Bruce famously remarked, "in Hollywood, watch out when you call for a prostitute, a balding, bearded writer may show at the door." But enough about James Cameron. Similarly, Greenspan always ran cover for these masters he served, and always with the same gloom and doom they push everywhere they go: Monsanto is actually trying to save the world, corporations need LESS regulation and have built a court to ensure it, China can be trusted to operate in ethical fashion, dark brothers are bad, and yes Virginia, there is a Santa Claus, available in 12 easy payments of YOUR SOUL. Greenspan is a whore.
and that Andrea Mitchell, I don' know what...
your name's Lebowski, Lebowski... and your wife is Bunny
monsanto is not trying to save the world..
they have virtually full control over one of the
world's major food/industry crops......CORN
and they sue everyone who trys save seed corn
for the next years crop....they put small farmers
out of business.....daily
the stolen legacy of Paul Wellstone, before that, Cheney's secret energy talks carving up Iraq... Piss Boy Bush SOTU there's a looming mushroom cloud, CONDI's no one could have imagined scenario of planes into buildings, ROVE's literal destruction of a rightful state Governor, the honorable http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Don_Siegelman... and a wonderful bouquet of Gonzales' I don't recall remembering...
I mean why are we taking this lying on our asses doing metaphorical bong hits of whatever floats out boats?
I mean RISE UP M'THA F*KAS
what else on my Christmas list, hmmm, anything ever mouthed by Dick Cheney since he was knee high pissing about having to service all the older cowhands every night out on the north forty, oh and who can forget
"I, I guess we mis-remembered what we had been able to misunderestimate, heh heh..."
Who else misses those heh, heh? I think the arbitrary clipped harshness of Obamabush doesn't play as well. Cuz we're all still sitting in shit. Nothing has changed.
...heh heh
your name's Lebowski, Lebowski... and your wife is Bunny
to be perfectly clear here, you is used in the general sense
and not as a specific person.
it's a shame that whenever anyone on this list
comments on anything you say......you go to the
deep end and sink with your pointless ramblings
that is so sad.....
but I would take exception with your last sentence: Nothing has changed.
I think that during the Bush years quite a lot changed - mainly, in my view, that the fascists are now much more open, arrogant and blatant while they go about pulling our country right out from under us. Or, maybe I'm just better at picking up on the deceit.
"Egotism is the anesthetic that dulls the pain of Stupidity" - Frank Leahy
...because that would cut off the drug trade that is keeping our big banks afloat:
http://www.guardian.co.uk/global/2009/dec/13/...
February 2001: "Chairman Greenspan noted that projected budget surpluses are sufficiently large that the public debt may be eliminated within the next ten years. At that point, continued surpluses would necessarily result in public investment in some sort of private assets (since there would be no debt left to pay down). Chairman Greenspan argued that public investment in private assets could lead to political interference in private capital markets and, as a result, would risk "sub-optimal performance by our capital markets, diminished economic efficiency, and lower overall standards of living than would be achieved otherwise." This is the so-called "peril of zero debt." To avoid that peril, Greenspan recommended that projected surpluses be dissipated in part through tax cuts..."
Well THANK GOD we avoided THAT disaster!!!!
and the facts are that the republicans have fucked up everything they have come into contact with in the last thirty years. Why?
Because they always start from the position of greed and self fulfillment!
They cannot be trusted to make any decisions that could effect other people. It is as I have been saying for quite a while now republicanism/conservatism is a mental illness that is killing America. WE need to put an end to republican involvement in the affairs of others they are not capable of making good decisions!
Government exists to protect the rights of the individual, and promote the interests of the people. Republicans use government to promote the interests of individuals, not the people as a whole. Selfishness is antithetical to good governance, and should, in a just world, exclude participation from Republicans - and Democrats (Conrad, Nelson, Landrieu, Lincoln, etc.) - who ignore the interests of the people.
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