Scott Walker lost a lot more than the Fox focus group after his weak showing at Thursday's GOP debate. The prediction markets show that although there was little change in the candidates' positions, Walker did set himself apart by being the biggest loser:
According to David Rothschild, who runs the prediction market aggregator PredictWise.com, the top three candidates remain Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio and Scott Walker. Long odds are available for all the other candidates. No contender saw his or her odds move by more than four percentage points. Movements this small are sometimes not even meaningful, as they reflect the ebb and flow of money for or against a particular candidate.
Jeb Bush, whose lackluster performance has been dissected at length, was rated a 43 percent chance of winning the nomination in the minutes before the debate, and he remains a dominant favorite with a 42 percent chance.
The prediction markets make Scott Walker the night’s biggest loser; his chances were cut from 20 percent to 16 percent. Yet Marco Rubio’s solid performance left his odds unchanged at 10 percent.
Walker knows he tanked on Thursday too.
On Friday, his campaign set out a whopping dozen press releases. Giving away his panic at his dropping numbers, his press releases including things like:
- I've always been radically pro-life. No, really!
- Don't blame me for flip flopping on immigration, blame the American people!
- We should support Israel because I visited there once.
- I will start a war with Iran on Day One because that's what those nice Israelis want me to do.
- Hillary's email scandal is bad but don't ask me about mine
If Walker allowed people close to him, you could probably smell the flop sweat on him from ten feet away.