2014 Senate races

Media Grapples With Dueling Narratives Of Who Will Control The Senate

Media Grapples With Dueling Narratives Of Who Will Control The Senate

Prof. Sam Wang joins Michael Smerconish on CNN to talk about the odds of Senate control in November. For much of the past year the media have pushed for a narrative of Republican takeover, most often citing Nate Silver's bearish outlook. Silver's fundamentals (red state electorates, non-presidential year, etc) essentially putting his thumb on the scale for takeover. Others like Wang have said that's not what the data is showing. Smerconish's set up is false too, as this has never been "Dewey-Truman". All the experts aren't predicting a Republican takeover, and never were. Others (Pollster.com, Daily Kos, Washington Post also show Democrats barely holding the Senate, 58%, 51%, 50% respectively). 538 and New York Times, who both employ 'fundamentals' are now at 58% and 52% for Republican control. Wang's/PEC is higher, but it's important to realize their most likely result is a 50-50 senate split, with Democrats barely maintaining control.
Democrat Withdraws From Senate Race In Kansas, GOP Keep Him On The Ballot Anyway

Democrat Withdraws From Senate Race In Kansas, GOP Keep Him On The Ballot Anyway

TOPEKA, Kan. (AP) - The Democratic candidate for the U.S. Senate in Kansas must remain on the November ballot even though he wants to withdraw against incumbent Republican Sen. Pat Roberts. Kansas Secretary of State Kris Kobach said Thursday Democrat Chad Taylor did not comply with state law. He says Taylor didn't formally declare that he would be unable to serve if elected. Taylor Wednesday withdrew from the race without explanation, raising questions about whether he quit to give independent candidate Greg Orman a better shot at defeating three-term conservative Roberts, who has struggled to solidify re-election in a predominantly Republican state." (KWCH video) It doesn't get much more blatant than this.--Scarce