March 19, 2016

Whoops. It might be that if Donald Trump is the GOP Nominee for President, it could mean an end to John McCain's Senate career.

The ad above is from Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick, McCain's Democratic rival. The Hill reports that "polls show McCain tied with Kirkpatrick... at around 40 percent despite having nearly 100-percent name recognition in the state."

Ann Kirkpatrick is also breaking records in fundraising. "Kirkpatrick... raised $1.8 million in 2015, more than any other Senate Democratic candidate in state history."

“There’s still a little bit of animosity between him and the base,” said Adam Deguire, a GOP strategist and former chief of staff to Rep. Matt Salmon (R-Ariz.).

“The unfortunate part for Sen. McCain is that it’s not just the past history he has with the base that’s going to affect him but the current mood of the electorate is going to trend away from anyone who is an incumbent, anyone who is a current Washington figure,” he added.

Deguire said the biggest X factor could be Trump and his effect on the electorate. Will he mobilize working-class voters to vote Republican or will he unleash a wave of Hispanics to register and vote Democratic?

Sen. McCain and Ann Kirkpatrick’s race is going to boil down to who’s atop the ticket. I think you’re going to see this across the board nationally,” he added.

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