If Kyrsten Sinema insists on running as an Independent a new poll finds that she spoils the Democrat's chances at winning.
December 28, 2022

A recent poll by PPP found that if Kyrsten Sinema insists on running again in 2024 she'll lose, and lose badly. That's a good thing. But she'll also draw enough Democratic votes from Ruben Gallego that he'd also likely lose to Kari Lake. That's a bad thing. A very bad thing. And considering Sinema's track record for spoiling what Democrats want it is a very real possibility at this point that she'd continue to run despite the discouraging poll numbers.

Kari Lake (R) 41
Ruben Gallego (D) 40
Kyrsten Sinema (I) 13

Source: Newsweek

A new poll from Public Policy Polling (PPP) asked voters who they'd choose between three Arizona candidates. Apart from Lake, the options included Democratic Representative Ruben Gallego and Senator Kyrsten Sinema, who recently announced that she would be registering as an independent.

Out of these three possibilities, the poll suggests that voters would pick Lake.

"Fresh new Arizona numbers!" PPP, a Democratic Party-affiliated firm, tweeted on Thursday. "In a three-way race, Kyrsten Sinema would get just 13% to 41% for Kari Lake and 40% for Ruben Gallego."

The poll also indicates that Lake barely lags behind Gallego in a would-be head-to-head election: 47 percent to the congressman's 48 percent. Meanwhile, Lake is 3 points ahead of Sinema in a hypothetical one-on-one matchup, although 19 percent of respondents answered they weren't sure who they would go for between those two candidates.

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